The Prediction Markets

Latin Grammy Awards · Best New Artist

Closes
Nov 13, 2027, in 12 months
Traded
$65K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

ARIA VEGA 99%

Next is Ella Langley at 81.7%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
ARIA VEGA
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 15s ago
Kalshi
Contract
ARIA VEGA
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
80¢
Volume
$795
Trade this on Kalshi
Ella Langley
81.7%
Polymarket 65.5%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 97.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ella Langley
Last price
65.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Ella Langley
Last price
97.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
96.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Malcolm Todd
73.5%
Polymarket 73.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
Malcolm Todd
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Don Toliver
72.5%
Polymarket 72.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Don Toliver
Last price
72.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Audrey Hobert
62%
Polymarket 62%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
Audrey Hobert
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Polymarket
Role Model
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Role Model
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
Slayyyter
52.3%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 86%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slayyyter
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Slayyyter
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
SIENNA SPIRO
40.7%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 98.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
SIENNA SPIRO
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
SIENNA SPIRO
Last price
98.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
97.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$150
Trade this on Polymarket
Stella Lefty
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stella Lefty
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Geese
24.4%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 92%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Geese
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Geese
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$330
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 39 more outcomes
Loulu Gilberto
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Loulu Gilberto
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
Macario Martínez
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Macario Martínez
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
underscores
10.2%
Polymarket 10.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $980 (9.80x)
Polymarket
Contract
underscores
Last price
10.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10.2¢
Sell Yes
10.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$980 (9.80x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Zeca Veloso
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zeca Veloso
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
Arath Herce
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arath Herce
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
maye
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
maye
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$69
Trade this on Kalshi
Sofia Monroy
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sofia Monroy
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
Ken Carson
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ken Carson
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bella Kay
4.2%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 7.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bella Kay
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$744
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Bella Kay
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Delilah
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Delilah
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
Kendall Peña
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kendall Peña
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
Dora Sanches
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dora Sanches
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
FABIAN
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
FABIAN
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
SAILORR
2.9%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 5.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
SAILORR
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$816
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
SAILORR
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
The Beaches
2.9%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 5.3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Beaches
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$776
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
The Beaches
Last price
5.3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
6.9¢
Sell Yes
3.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,449 (14.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Renee Rapp
2.2%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 3.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Renee Rapp
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Renee Rapp
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Magdalena Bay
2.1%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 3.7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Magdalena Bay
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Magdalena Bay
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
BigXthaPlug
2.1%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 3.7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
BigXthaPlug
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$786
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
BigXthaPlug
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tie
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tie
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$35
Trade this on Kalshi
Loe Shimmy
1.9%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 2.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Loe Shimmy
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$782
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Loe Shimmy
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
EsDeeKid
1.7%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
EsDeeKid
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$796
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
EsDeeKid
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Ninajirachi
1.6%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 2.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ninajirachi
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$797
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Ninajirachi
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sasha Keable
1.6%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 6.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sasha Keable
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$665
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Sasha Keable
Last price
6.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$38
Trade this on Polymarket
CMAT
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
CMAT
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
2.2¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,545 (45.5x)
Volume
$865
Trade this on Polymarket
Mk.gee
1.2%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 3.6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mk.gee
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$830
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Mk.gee
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$73
Trade this on Polymarket
Jessie Murph
1.1%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 3.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jessie Murph
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$816
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Jessie Murph
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
JADE
1.1%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 3.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
JADE
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$836
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
JADE
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$127
Trade this on Polymarket
Black Country, New Road
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Black Country, New Road
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$777
Trade this on Polymarket
Adéla
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Adéla
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$876
Trade this on Polymarket
PARTYOF2
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
PARTYOF2
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$771
Trade this on Polymarket
Skye Newman
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Skye Newman
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$771
Trade this on Polymarket
The Last Dinner Party
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Last Dinner Party
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$816
Trade this on Polymarket
Dijon
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dijon
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$753
Trade this on Polymarket
Yazmin Lacey
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yazmin Lacey
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$816
Trade this on Polymarket
Megan Moroney
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Megan Moroney
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$700
Trade this on Polymarket
Nami
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nami
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$581
Trade this on Polymarket
Oklou
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oklou
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$685
Trade this on Polymarket
Jordan Ward
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jordan Ward
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$622
Trade this on Polymarket
Model/Actriz
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Model/Actriz
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$673
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: grammy.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: The Latin Recording Academy

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • ARIA VEGA
  • Ella Langley
  • Malcolm Todd

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list ARIA VEGA for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Latin Grammy Awards · Best New Artist". ARIA VEGA leads at 99%. Next is Ella Langley at 81.7%. $65K has traded across 49 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 13, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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