The Prediction Markets

Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC

Closed
Apr 14, 2026
Traded
$363K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 14, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Liverpool FC
40.5%
Polymarket 41.5%(40.5% fair)polled, 4715 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liverpool FC
Last price
41.5%
Fair, margin removed
40.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$37K
Trade this on Polymarket
Paris Saint-Germain FC
38.5%
Polymarket 39.5%(38.5% fair)polled, 4715 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris Saint-Germain FC
Last price
39.5%
Fair, margin removed
38.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$302K
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw (Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC)
21%
Polymarket 21.5%(21% fair)polled, 4715 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC)
Last price
21.5%
Fair, margin removed
21%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: uefa.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Liverpool FC
  • Paris Saint-Germain FC
  • Draw (Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC)

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC". Liverpool FC last traded at 40.5%. Next is Paris Saint-Germain FC at 38.5%. $363K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 14, 2026.

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Tuesday, April 14, 2026 between Liverpool FC and Paris Saint-Germain FC.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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