The Prediction Markets

Magic vs. Cavaliers

Closed
Mar 25, 2026
Traded
$4.7M
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Mar 25, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 212 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5
98.9%
Polymarket 100%(98.9% fair)polled, 5105 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5
Last price
100%
Fair, margin removed
98.9%
As of
Polled 212 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5105 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 212 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$208
Trade this on Polymarket
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 5105 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 212 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$266
Trade this on Polymarket
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5105 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 212 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$217
Trade this on Polymarket
Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5105 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 212 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$591
Trade this on Polymarket
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5
0%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5105 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 212 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$112
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nba.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5
  • Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5
  • James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Magic vs. Cavaliers". Wendell Carter Jr.: Points O/U 11.5 last traded at 98.9%. Next is Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5 at 0.5%. $4.7M has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 25, 2026.

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 24 at 8:00PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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