The Prediction Markets

Post Malone: Highest daily view count (November 2026)

Closes
Dec 4, 2026, in 29 days
Traded
$3K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
2 min ago
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What the markets expect

Above 5M 99%

Next is Above 5.5M at 98%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 5M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 2 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.5M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.5M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 6.5M
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.5M
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 6M
77.5%
Kalshi 77.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6M
Last price
77.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
14.5M
66%
Polymarket 66%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
14.5M
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Polymarket
15M
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
15M
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 7M
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 7M
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 8M
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 8M
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Kalshi
14.75M
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
14.75M
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$242
Trade this on Polymarket
15.5M
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
15.5M
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$377
Trade this on Polymarket
15.25M
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
15.25M
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$520
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 7.5M
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 7.5M
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: YouTube Charts

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 5M
  • Above 5.5M
  • Above 6.5M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 5M for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Post Malone: Highest daily view count (November 2026)". Above 5M leads at 99%. Next is Above 5.5M at 98%. $3K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 4, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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