The Prediction Markets

Price of NVIDIA B200 compute in Q2?

Closed
Jul 1, 2026
Traded
$106K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jul 1, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above $3.27
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.27
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$623
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.47
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.47
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$208
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.67
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.67
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $3.87
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3.87
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.07
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.07
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.27
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.27
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.87
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.87
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.07
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.07
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.67
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.67
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4.47
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4.47
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 10 more outcomes
Above $5.47
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.47
Last price
62%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.27
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.27
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.67
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.67
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $5.87
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $5.87
Last price
56%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $6.07
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $6.07
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $6.27
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $6.27
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $6.47
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $6.47
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $6.67
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $6.67
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $7.07
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $7.07
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $6.87
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3025 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $6.87
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Ornn

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above $3.27
  • Above $3.47
  • Above $3.67

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Price of NVIDIA B200 compute in Q2?". Above $3.27 last traded at 98%. Next is Above $3.47 at 98%. $106K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 1, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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