The Prediction Markets

Shake Shack Foot Traffic in November 2026

Closes
Dec 8, 2026, in 22 days
Traded
$4K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Above 87 99%

Next is Above 93.5 at 95%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 87
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 87
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$891
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 93.5
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 93.5
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 98
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 98
Last price
93%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 91.5
90.5%
Kalshi 90.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 91.5
Last price
90.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 96
89.5%
Kalshi 89.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 96
Last price
89.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 100
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 100
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 102.5
73.5%
Kalshi 73.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 102.5
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 108
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 108
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$907
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 113.5
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 113.5
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$214
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 124.5
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 124.5
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 119
13.5%
Kalshi 13.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 119
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Carbon Arc

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 87
  • Above 93.5
  • Above 98

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Shake Shack Foot Traffic in November 2026". Above 87 leads at 99%. Next is Above 93.5 at 95%. $4K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 8, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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