The Prediction Markets

Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC

Closed
Apr 17, 2026
Traded
$25K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 17, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 195 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Shandong Taishan FC
43.3%
Polymarket 45.5%(43.3% fair)polled, 4693 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shandong Taishan FC
Last price
45.5%
Fair, margin removed
43.3%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Polymarket
Shandong Taishan FC
38.6%
Polymarket 40.5%(38.6% fair)polled, 4693 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shanghai Haigang FC
Last price
40.5%
Fair, margin removed
38.6%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$19
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw (Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC)
18.1%
Polymarket 19%(18.1% fair)polled, 4693 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC)
Last price
19%
Fair, margin removed
18.1%
As of
Polled 195 d ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: csl-china.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Shandong Taishan FC
  • Shandong Taishan FC
  • Draw (Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC)

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC". Shandong Taishan FC last traded at 43.3%. Next is Shandong Taishan FC at 38.6%. $25K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 17, 2026.

This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Friday, April 17, 2026 between Shandong Taishan FC and Shanghai Haigang FC.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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