The Prediction Markets

South Korea exports YoY for November

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$41K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Above 70.0% 98%

Next is Above 75.0% at 95%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 6 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 70.0%
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70.0%
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 75.0%
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75.0%
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 80.0%
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80.0%
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
140
84.5%
Polymarket 84.5%polled, 33s ago
Polymarket
Contract
140
Last price
84.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
69¢
Trade this on Polymarket
144
82%
Polymarket 82%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
144
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 85.0%
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85.0%
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$410
Trade this on Kalshi
138
77%
Polymarket 77%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
138
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Polymarket
146
73%
Polymarket 73%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
146
Last price
73%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
69¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Polymarket
136
68.5%
Polymarket 68.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
136
Last price
68.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 90.0%
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90.0%
Last price
66%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$92
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 22 more outcomes
148
63.5%
Polymarket 63.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
148
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Trade this on Polymarket
134
59%
Polymarket 59%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
134
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 95.0%
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 95.0%
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
150
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
150
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
132
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
132
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$258
Trade this on Polymarket
152
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
152
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Trade this on Polymarket
130
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
130
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$384
Trade this on Polymarket
154
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
154
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 100.0%
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 100.0%
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
156
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
156
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
128
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
128
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$769
Trade this on Polymarket
126
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
126
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$362
Trade this on Polymarket
158
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
158
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$758
Trade this on Polymarket
160
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
Contract
160
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$772
Trade this on Polymarket
162
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
162
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$650
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 105.0%
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 105.0%
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
164
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
164
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$377
Trade this on Polymarket
166
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
166
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$728
Trade this on Polymarket
168
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
168
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$957
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 110.0%
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 110.0%
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 6 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$90
Trade this on Kalshi
170
10%
Polymarket 10%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
170
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
172
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
172
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$760
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Trading Economics

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 70.0%
  • Above 75.0%
  • Above 80.0%

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 70.0% for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "South Korea exports YoY for November". Above 70.0% leads at 98%. Next is Above 75.0% at 95%. $41K has traded across 32 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 30, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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