The Prediction Markets

Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (October 5, 2026 - October 11, 2026)

Closed
Oct 13, 2026
Traded
$16K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 13, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 15 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 2.1M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 378 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.1M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2.2M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 378 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.2M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
60¢
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2.3M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 378 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.3M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2.4M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 378 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.4M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2.5M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 378 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.5M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 378 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2.6M
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.6M
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$461
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2.7M
56.5%
Kalshi 56.5%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.7M
Last price
56.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2.8M
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.8M
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$724
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 2.9M
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2.9M
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 21 more outcomes
Above 3.1M
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.1M
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$420
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.4M
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.4M
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.2M
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.2M
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.3M
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.3M
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$300
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3M
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3M
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.7M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.7M
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.8M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.8M
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.9M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.9M
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.1M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.1M
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.2M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.2M
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.3M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.3M
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.4M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.4M
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.5M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.5M
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.6M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.6M
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.7M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.7M
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.9M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.9M
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4M
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.5M
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.5M
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.6M
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.6M
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 4.8M
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.8M
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5M
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 378 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5M
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: YouTube Charts

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 2.1M
  • Above 2.2M
  • Above 2.3M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (October 5, 2026 - October 11, 2026)". Above 2.1M last traded at 99%. Next is Above 2.2M at 99%. $16K has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 13, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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