The Prediction Markets

Taylor Swift daily view count hits ___ in November?

Closes
Dec 1, 2026, in 26 days
Traded
$35K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
3 h ago
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What the markets expect

Above 13.1M 99%

Next is Above 11.25M at 98%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 13.1M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 99%polled, 3 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.1M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.1M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 11.25M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 11.25M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 11M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 11M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.2M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 98%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.2M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$167
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.2M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.3M
95.8%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 89%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.3M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.3M
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 11.5M
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 11.5M
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.9M
93.3%
Kalshi 96%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 85%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.9M
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$179
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.9M
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.4M
92.8%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 91%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.4M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.4M
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$53
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 12M
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 12M
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.6M
89%
Kalshi 96%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 82%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.6M
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.6M
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 38 more outcomes
Above 11.75M
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 11.75M
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.7M
83.3%
Kalshi 97%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 69.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.7M
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.7M
Last price
69.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.8M
80.3%
Kalshi 96%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 64.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.8M
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.8M
Last price
64.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 12.25M
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 12.25M
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13M
73%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 99%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 22%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13M
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.1M
71%
Kalshi 75%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 67%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.1M
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.1M
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 12.5M
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 12.5M
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$647
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.5M
66.3%
Kalshi 98%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 88%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 13%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.5M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.5M
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
83¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.5M
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.2M
62%
Kalshi 76%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 48%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.2M
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.2M
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.3M
60.3%
Kalshi 75.5%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 45%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.3M
Last price
75.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.3M
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14M
54.3%
Kalshi 76.5%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 76%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 10.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14M
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14M
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14M
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
14.5M
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
14.5M
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 14.4M
50.8%
Kalshi 80%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 21.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.4M
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.4M
Last price
21.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.8M
49.8%
Kalshi 79%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 20.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.8M
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.8M
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.6M
47.3%
Kalshi 75.5%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 19%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.6M
Last price
75.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.6M
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.7M
45%
Kalshi 72.5%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 17.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.7M
Last price
72.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.7M
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15.3M
42.8%
Kalshi 71%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 14.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.3M
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.3M
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.9M
40.3%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 17%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.9M
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.9M
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
14.75M
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
14.75M
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$242
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 15.1M
38%
Kalshi 61%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 15%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.1M
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.1M
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
15.5M
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
15.5M
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$377
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 15.2M
37%
Kalshi 59%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 15%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.2M
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.2M
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15.7M
36.3%
Kalshi 64%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 8.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.7M
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$39
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.7M
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.5M
33.2%
Kalshi 75%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 20%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 4.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.5M
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.5M
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.5M
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15.4M
33%
Kalshi 52%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 14%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.4M
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.4M
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 12.75M
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 12.75M
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$747
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15.6M
29.3%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 10%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.6M
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.6M
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
15M
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
15M
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 15M
27.5%
Kalshi 63%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 16.5%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 3%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15M
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15M
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15M
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15.9M
25.8%
Kalshi 45.5%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.9M
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.9M
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
15.25M
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
15.25M
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$520
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 15.5M
24.3%
Kalshi 37%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 11.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.5M
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.5M
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15.8M
20.8%
Kalshi 35%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 6.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.8M
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.8M
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.25M
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.25M
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 16M
17%
Kalshi 28%polled, 3 h agoKalshi 6%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 16M
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 16M
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.75M
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.75M
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.25M
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.25M
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.75M
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.75M
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 3 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: YouTube Charts

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 13.1M
  • Above 11.25M
  • Above 11M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 13.1M for this event.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Taylor Swift daily view count hits ___ in November?". Above 13.1M leads at 99%. Next is Above 11.25M at 98%. $35K has traded across 48 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift's daily global YouTube view count for any single day in November 2026 is reported at or above the specified number by market expiry. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will consider figures reported for all calendar days within the specified timeframe, including revisions to those figures, until market expiry. This market will expire at the earliest of: (i) the first release of the figure for the final specified calendar day; OR (ii) the seventh day after the final specified calendar day, 11:59 PM ET. Only global view counts will be used. Regional and country-specific figures will not be used. This market will resolve according to the figures attributed to the specified artist by the resolution source, regardless of which channel the views occurred on. If the resolution source attributes views to the specified artist for a video on which the specified artist is a featured or credited contributor, those views will count. The resolution source for this market will be the daily global view counts on Taylor Swift's artist profile published on YouTube Charts (https://charts.youtube.com/artist/%2Fm%2F0dl567).

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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