The Prediction Markets

Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (November 2026)

Closes
Dec 4, 2026, in 29 days
Traded
$21K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

Cite these odds

Free to quote with credit. Prices move, so keep the time.

Citation

Link to the live page
Image1200 × 675 card with the time printed on itDownload PNG

How to describe the numbers, and the reuse terms, are on the press page.

Embed this on your site

Free to use with the credit link. Prices refresh every minute.

Widget
Theme
Size

The script resizes the frame to fit; the iframe works without it.

Newsletters can’t run the live widget, so this is a picture of it with the time printed on it, linking to the live page.

What the markets expect

Above 13.1M 99%

Next is Above 13.2M at 98%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 13.1M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.1M
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.2M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.2M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$167
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.3M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.3M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$115
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.4M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.4M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.5M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.5M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
98¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.7M
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.7M
Last price
97%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.6M
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.6M
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.8M
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.8M
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 13.9M
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 13.9M
Last price
96%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$179
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 26 more outcomes
Above 14.4M
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.4M
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.8M
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.8M
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14M
76.5%
Kalshi 76.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14M
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.2M
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.2M
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.3M
75.5%
Kalshi 75.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.3M
Last price
75.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.6M
75.5%
Kalshi 75.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.6M
Last price
75.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.1M
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.1M
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.5M
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.5M
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.7M
72.5%
Kalshi 72.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.7M
Last price
72.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15.3M
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.3M
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$26
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15.7M
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.7M
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$39
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 14.9M
63.5%
Kalshi 63.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 14.9M
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15M
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15M
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15.1M
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.1M
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15.2M
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.2M
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Trade this on Kalshi
14.5M
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
14.5M
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 15.4M
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.4M
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15.6M
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.6M
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15.9M
45.5%
Kalshi 45.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.9M
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Trade this on Kalshi
14.75M
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
14.75M
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$242
Trade this on Polymarket
15.5M
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
15.5M
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$377
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 15.5M
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.5M
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 15.8M
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 15.8M
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Kalshi
15M
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
15M
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 16M
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 16M
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
15.25M
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
15.25M
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$520
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: YouTube Charts

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 13.1M
  • Above 13.2M
  • Above 13.3M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 13.1M for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (November 2026)". Above 13.1M leads at 99%. Next is Above 13.2M at 98%. $21K has traded across 36 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 4, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More culture markets

See all culture markets