The Prediction Markets

"The Cat in the Hat" total domestic gross by November 30?

Closes
Dec 1, 2026, in 18 days
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
5 min ago
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What the markets expect

45-55M 36%

Next is 45M at 31.7%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

45-55M 36%45M 31.7%55-65M 22.5%75-85M 5.2%65-75M 4%85M+ 0.6%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
45-55M
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
45-55M
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$244
Trade this on Polymarket
45M
31.7%
Polymarket 31.7%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 62.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
45M
Last price
31.7%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
62.2¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$269
Trade this on Polymarket
55-65M
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
55-65M
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$757
Trade this on Polymarket
75-85M
5.2%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
75-85M
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$134
Trade this on Polymarket
65-75M
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
65-75M
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$194
Trade this on Polymarket
85M+
0.6%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 5 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
85M+
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 5 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 45-55M
  • 45M
  • 55-65M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

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Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for ""The Cat in the Hat" total domestic gross by November 30?". 45-55M leads at 36%. Next is 45M at 31.7%. $2K has traded across 6 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

This market will resolve according to how much "The Cat in the Hat" box office will gross domestically from its opening (November 5, 2026) through November 30, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) cumulative figure through November 30, 2026 is available, and no later than December 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the "Total Gross" figure for November 30, 2026 in the "Daily Box Office Performance" table on the "Box Office" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by December 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the "To Date" figure for November 30, 2026 on the "Domestic Daily" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page. If a source lists no figure for November 30, 2026, its figure for the most recent listed date before November 30, 2026 will be used. If neither source has a final figure by December 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by December 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to the cumulative domestic gross until and including November 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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"The Cat in the Hat" total domestic gross by November 30? Odds, Platforms, and Market Data | The Prediction Markets