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ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Cade Mower 97%
Next is Dakota Cohen at 97%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Cade Mower97%97%60¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 min agoNo askCade Mower97%Kalshi 97%polled, 1 min ago
Cade Mower
97%
97%
60¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 min ago
No ask
Cade Mower
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cade Mower
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- Volume
- $1
Dakota Cohen97%97%60¢ bid, — askpolled, 1 min agoNo askDakota Cohen97%Kalshi 97%polled, 1 min ago
Dakota Cohen
97%
97%
60¢ bid, — ask
polled, 1 min ago
No ask
Dakota Cohen
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dakota Cohen
- Last price
- 97%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- Volume
- $1
Joey Henley77%77%72¢ bid, 82¢ askpolled, 1 min ago82¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $122 (1.22x)Joey Henley77%Kalshi 77%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Joey Henley
77%
77%
72¢ bid, 82¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
82¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Joey Henley
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joey Henley
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 82¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $122 (1.22x)
Mia Knight51%51%46¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 1 min ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Mia Knight51%Kalshi 51%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Mia Knight
51%
51%
46¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Mia Knight
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mia Knight
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
Brianna Cameron46%46%41¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 1 min ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Brianna Cameron46%Kalshi 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Brianna Cameron
46%
46%
41¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Brianna Cameron
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brianna Cameron
- Last price
- 46%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
Connor Closs32%32%27¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 1 min ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Connor Closs32%Kalshi 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Connor Closs
32%
32%
27¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Connor Closs
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Connor Closs
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
Kyle Davis32%32%27¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 1 min ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Kyle Davis32%Kalshi 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kyle Davis
32%
32%
27¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kyle Davis
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyle Davis
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
BigCountry13%13%9¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)BigCountry13%Kalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
BigCountry
13%
13%
9¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
BigCountry
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BigCountry
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $1
Lexi Stephens11%11%6¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 1 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Lexi Stephens11%Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Lexi Stephens
11%
11%
6¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Lexi Stephens
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lexi Stephens
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
Ferryn & Brinkley8%8%3¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Ferryn & Brinkley8%Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Ferryn & Brinkley
8%
8%
3¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Ferryn & Brinkley
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ferryn & Brinkley
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Show 18 more outcomesHide 18 outcomes
Koumba Diallo8%8%3¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Koumba Diallo8%Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Koumba Diallo
8%
8%
3¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Koumba Diallo
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Koumba Diallo
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Anna McElroy5%5%3¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Anna McElroy5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Anna McElroy
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Anna McElroy
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Anna McElroy
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Lillie Kolich3%3%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Lillie Kolich3%Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Lillie Kolich
3%
3%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Lillie Kolich
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lillie Kolich
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Allie Rae2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Allie Rae2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Allie Rae
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Allie Rae
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Allie Rae
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Alt Bloom2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Alt Bloom2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Alt Bloom
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Alt Bloom
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alt Bloom
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Amanda Mikkel2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Amanda Mikkel2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Amanda Mikkel
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Amanda Mikkel
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amanda Mikkel
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Brandon Diaz2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Brandon Diaz2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Brandon Diaz
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Brandon Diaz
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brandon Diaz
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Brooklyn Marie2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Brooklyn Marie2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Brooklyn Marie
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Brooklyn Marie
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brooklyn Marie
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Bryan Jaymes2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Bryan Jaymes2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Bryan Jaymes
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Bryan Jaymes
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bryan Jaymes
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Chari2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Chari2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Chari
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Chari
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chari
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Destinee Monroe2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Destinee Monroe2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Destinee Monroe
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Destinee Monroe
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Destinee Monroe
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Evan James2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Evan James2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Evan James
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Evan James
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Evan James
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Everett Bounds2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Everett Bounds2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Everett Bounds
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Everett Bounds
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Everett Bounds
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Kayleigh Mathews2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Kayleigh Mathews2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kayleigh Mathews
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kayleigh Mathews
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kayleigh Mathews
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Keiyana Osmond2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Keiyana Osmond2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Keiyana Osmond
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Keiyana Osmond
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keiyana Osmond
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Marcus Ladden Jr.2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Marcus Ladden Jr.2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Marcus Ladden Jr.
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Marcus Ladden Jr.
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marcus Ladden Jr.
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Nina Howland2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Nina Howland2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Nina Howland
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Nina Howland
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nina Howland
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Owen Uffens2.5%2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Owen Uffens2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Owen Uffens
2.5%
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Owen Uffens
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Owen Uffens
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: NBC
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Cade Mower
- Dakota Cohen
- Joey Henley
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "The Voice Season 30 · Top 3". Cade Mower leads at 97%. Next is Dakota Cohen at 97%. $1K has traded across 28 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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