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This market has closed
Trading ended on Oct 13, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 15 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above 12M99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 373 h agoNo askAbove 12M99%Kalshi 99%polled, 373 h ago
Above 12M
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 373 h ago
No ask
Above 12M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 12M
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $3K
Above 13M99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 373 h agoNo askAbove 13M99%Kalshi 99%polled, 373 h ago
Above 13M
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 373 h ago
No ask
Above 13M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 13M
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $3K
Above 14M99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 373 h agoNo askAbove 14M99%Kalshi 99%polled, 373 h ago
Above 14M
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 373 h ago
No ask
Above 14M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 14M
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $2K
Above 15M99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 373 h agoNo askAbove 15M99%Kalshi 99%polled, 373 h ago
Above 15M
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 373 h ago
No ask
Above 15M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 15M
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $2K
Above 16M99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 373 h agoNo askAbove 16M99%Kalshi 99%polled, 373 h ago
Above 16M
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 373 h ago
No ask
Above 16M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 16M
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $3K
Above 17M99%99%58¢ bid, — askpolled, 373 h agoNo askAbove 17M99%Kalshi 99%polled, 373 h ago
Above 17M
99%
99%
58¢ bid, — ask
polled, 373 h ago
No ask
Above 17M
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 373 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 17M
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- Volume
- $2K
Above 18M74%74%56¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 373 h ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Above 18M74%Kalshi 74%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Above 18M
74%
74%
56¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Above 18M
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 18M
- Last price
- 74%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $18
Above 19M19%19%9¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 373 h ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Above 19M19%Kalshi 19%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Above 19M
19%
19%
9¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Above 19M
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 19M
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $108
Above 20M3.5%3.5%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 373 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 20M3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 20M
3.5%
3.5%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 20M
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 20M
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 21M3.5%3.5%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 373 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 21M3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 21M
3.5%
3.5%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 21M
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 21M
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Show 4 more outcomesHide 4 outcomes
Above 23M3.5%3.5%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 373 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 23M3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 23M
3.5%
3.5%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 23M
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 23M
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 22M3%3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 373 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 22M3%Kalshi 3%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 22M
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 22M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 22M
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 24M3%3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 373 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 24M3%Kalshi 3%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 24M
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 24M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 24M
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 25M3%3%1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 373 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 25M3%Kalshi 3%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 25M
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 25M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 25M
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: YouTube Charts
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above 12M
- Above 13M
- Above 14M
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "The Weeknd: Highest daily view count (October 5, 2026 - October 11, 2026)". Above 12M last traded at 99%. Next is Above 13M at 99%. $15K has traded across 14 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 13, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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