The Prediction Markets

Thunder vs. Magic

Closed
Mar 17, 2026
Traded
$3.3M
Venues
Polymarket
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Mar 17, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 219 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5268 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 219 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$222
Trade this on Polymarket
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5268 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 219 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$263
Trade this on Polymarket
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 5268 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 219 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$410
Trade this on Polymarket
Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 2.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5268 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 2.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 219 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$221
Trade this on Polymarket
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5268 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 219 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$650
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: nba.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5
  • Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Thunder vs. Magic". Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5 last traded at 100%. Next is Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5 at 100%. $3.3M has traded across 5 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 17, 2026.

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 17 at 7:00PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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