The Prediction Markets

TIME's Athlete of the Year

Closes
Mar 31, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$433K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

Cite these odds

Free to quote with credit. Prices move, so keep the time.

Citation

Link to the live page
Image1200 × 675 card with the time printed on itDownload PNG

How to describe the numbers, and the reuse terms, are on the press page.

Embed this on your site

Free to use with the credit link. Prices refresh every minute.

Widget
Theme
Size

The script resizes the frame to fit; the iframe works without it.

Newsletters can’t run the live widget, so this is a picture of it with the time printed on it, linking to the live page.

What the markets expect

Jalen Brunson 51%

Next is Lamine Yamal at 30%. The venues differ most on Alysa Liu (Polymarket 1.4%, Kalshi 7%), a 5.7-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

1 of 85 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 9 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Jalen Brunson
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Brunson
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$775
Trade this on Kalshi
Lamine Yamal
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lamine Yamal
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Zohran Mamdani
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%live, just nowBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zohran Mamdani
Price
22.5%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$114K
Trade this on Polymarket
Victor Wembanyama
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Victor Wembanyama
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$91
Trade this on Kalshi
James Talarico
19.2%
Polymarket 19.2%polled, just nowBest Yes 19.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $510 (5.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
James Talarico
Last price
19.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19.6¢
Sell Yes
18.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$510 (5.10x)
Volume
$30K
Trade this on Polymarket
Abdul El-Sayed
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, just nowBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Abdul El-Sayed
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mark Carney
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, just nowBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mark Carney
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Polymarket
Benjamin Netanyahu
7.1%
Polymarket 7.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Benjamin Netanyahu
Last price
7.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Polymarket
Angel Reese
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Angel Reese
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$13
Trade this on Kalshi
Lionel Messi
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lionel Messi
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 74 more outcomes
Pope Leo XIV
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pope Leo XIV
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$50K
Trade this on Polymarket
Donald Trump
6.1%
Polymarket 6.1%polled, just nowBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Donald Trump
Last price
6.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
5.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$36K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lula da Silva
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lula da Silva
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
5.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Shohei Ohtani
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shohei Ohtani
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dario Amodei
5.3%
Polymarket 5.3%polled, just nowBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dario Amodei
Last price
5.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
4.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bad Bunny
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bad Bunny
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Marco Rubio
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marco Rubio
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$29K
Trade this on Polymarket
Reid Wiseman
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reid Wiseman
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
3.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Volume
$269
Trade this on Polymarket
Victor Glover
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Victor Glover
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$271
Trade this on Polymarket
Artificial Intelligence
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Artificial Intelligence
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
A'ja Wilson
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
A'ja Wilson
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Aaron Judge
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aaron Judge
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Agnes Ngetich
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Agnes Ngetich
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Alison dos Santos
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alison dos Santos
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Aliyah Boston
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aliyah Boston
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Andy Díaz Hernández
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Andy Díaz Hernández
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Anthony Edwards
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anthony Edwards
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Audrey Werro
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Audrey Werro
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Bobby Witt Jr.
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bobby Witt Jr.
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Caitlin Clark
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Caitlin Clark
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cal Raleigh
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cal Raleigh
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Camryn Rogers
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Camryn Rogers
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Carlos Alcaraz
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Carlos Alcaraz
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Chase Jackson
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chase Jackson
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Collen Kebinatshipi
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Collen Kebinatshipi
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Eileen Gu
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Eileen Gu
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Elena Rybakina
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Elena Rybakina
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Faith Kipyegon
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Faith Kipyegon
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Freddie Freeman
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Freddie Freeman
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hilary Knight
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hilary Knight
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ja’Kobe Tharp
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ja’Kobe Tharp
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jannik Sinner
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jannik Sinner
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Johannes Høsflot Klæbo
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Johannes Høsflot Klæbo
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jordan Stolz
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jordan Stolz
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Kerr
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Kerr
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Juan Soto
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Juan Soto
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kenneth Bednarek
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kenneth Bednarek
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kristjan Čeh
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kristjan Čeh
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kylian Mbappé
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kylian Mbappé
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Lindsey Vonn
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lindsey Vonn
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
María Pérez
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
María Pérez
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Marileidy Paulino
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marileidy Paulino
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Masai Russell
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Masai Russell
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Melissa Jefferson-Wooden
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Melissa Jefferson-Wooden
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mikaela Shiffrin
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mikaela Shiffrin
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mondo Duplantis
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mondo Duplantis
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mookie Betts
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mookie Betts
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nikki Hiltz
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nikki Hiltz
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Paul Skenes
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paul Skenes
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Rumesh Tharanga Pathirage
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rumesh Tharanga Pathirage
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sabastian Sawe
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sabastian Sawe
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Scottie Scheffler
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Scottie Scheffler
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tigst Assefa
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tigst Assefa
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Yan Ziyi
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yan Ziyi
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Yulimar Rojas
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yulimar Rojas
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mojtaba Khamenei
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mojtaba Khamenei
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jeremy Hansen
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeremy Hansen
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$831
Trade this on Polymarket
Alysa Liu
2.8%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, just nowKalshi 7%polled, 9 min agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alysa Liu
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Alysa Liu
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 9 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Indicative only, prices are 9 min old: No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

ChatGPT
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, just nowBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
ChatGPT
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$181
Trade this on Polymarket
Christina Koch
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Christina Koch
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Péter Magyar
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Péter Magyar
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bernie Sanders
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bernie Sanders
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Elon Musk
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elon Musk
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sam Altman
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, just nowBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Altman
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$341
Trade this on Polymarket
Jerome Powell
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jerome Powell
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$800
Trade this on Polymarket
Shehbaz Sharif
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shehbaz Sharif
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$187
Trade this on Polymarket
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Taylor Swift
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, just nowBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taylor Swift
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$220
Trade this on Polymarket
Ali Khamenei
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, just nowBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ali Khamenei
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$170
Trade this on Polymarket
Ali G
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, just nowBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ali G
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Polymarket

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Mar 31, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: The Washington Post, ESPN, The Wall Street Journal
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Mar 31, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jalen Brunson
  • Lamine Yamal
  • Zohran Mamdani

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Jalen Brunson for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "TIME's Athlete of the Year". Jalen Brunson leads at 51%. Next is Lamine Yamal at 30%. $433K has traded across 84 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 31, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More culture markets

See all culture markets