The Prediction Markets

Wendy's Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026

Closes
Dec 7, 2026, in 21 days
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

Above 80.5 81.5%

Next is Above 81 at 80%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 80.5
81.5%
Kalshi 81.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80.5
Last price
81.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 81
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 81
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 81.5
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 81.5
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 82.5
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 82.5
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 83
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 83
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 82
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 82
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 83.5
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 83.5
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$154
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 84
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 84
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 84.5
40.5%
Kalshi 40.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 84.5
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 85
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 12 more outcomes
Above 85.5
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85.5
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 86
32.5%
Kalshi 32.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 86
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 86.5
32.5%
Kalshi 32.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 86.5
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 87
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 87
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 87.5
26.5%
Kalshi 26.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 87.5
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 88
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 88
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$131
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 88.5
22.5%
Kalshi 22.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 88.5
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 89
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 89
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 89.5
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 89.5
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 90
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 90.5
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90.5
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 91
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 91
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Carbon Arc

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 80.5
  • Above 81
  • Above 81.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Wendy's Monthly Credit Card Spend in November 2026". Above 80.5 leads at 81.5%. Next is Above 81 at 80%. $2K has traded across 22 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 7, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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