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Trading ended on Jun 1, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 158 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
14067.5%67.5%37¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)14067.5%Polymarket 67.5%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
140
67.5%
67.5%
37¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
98¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
140
67.5%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 140
- Last price
- 67.5%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $195
12855%55%54¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago56¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $179 (1.79x)12855%Polymarket 55%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
128
55%
55%
54¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
56¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
128
55%
Polymarket 55%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 128
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 54¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $9K
12427.5%27.5%27¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago28¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $357 (3.57x)12427.5%Polymarket 27.5%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
124
27.5%
27.5%
27¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
28¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
124
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 124
- Last price
- 27.5%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $10K
14420%20%16¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago24¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $417 (4.17x)14420%Polymarket 20%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
144
20%
20%
16¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
24¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
144
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 144
- Last price
- 20%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
12013%13%12¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)12013%Polymarket 13%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
120
13%
13%
12¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
14¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
120
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 120
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $5K
14813%13%12.1¢ bid, 13.8¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago13.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $725 (7.25x)14813%Polymarket 13%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 13.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $725 (7.25x)
148
13%
13%
12.1¢ bid, 13.8¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
13.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $725 (7.25x)
148
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 13.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $725 (7.25x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 148
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 12.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $725 (7.25x)
- Volume
- $6K
1527%7%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)1527%Polymarket 7%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
152
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
152
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 152
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $10K
1166.1%6.1%5.5¢ bid, 6.7¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago6.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)1166.1%Polymarket 6.1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
116
6.1%
6.1%
5.5¢ bid, 6.7¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
6.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
116
6.1%
Polymarket 6.1%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 116
- Last price
- 6.1%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,493 (14.9x)
- Volume
- $8K
1563.2%3.2%3.1¢ bid, 3.2¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago3.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)1563.2%Polymarket 3.2%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
156
3.2%
3.2%
3.1¢ bid, 3.2¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
3.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
156
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 156
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,125 (31.3x)
- Volume
- $5K
1640.9%0.9%0.6¢ bid, 1.1¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago1.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)1640.9%Polymarket 0.9%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
164
0.9%
0.9%
0.6¢ bid, 1.1¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
1.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
164
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 164
- Last price
- 0.9%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $9,091 (90.9x)
- Volume
- $2K
1600.6%0.6%0.3¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)1600.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
160
0.6%
0.6%
0.3¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
160
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 160
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $6K
1680.5%0.5%0.2¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 3813 h ago0.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $14,286 (143x)1680.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
168
0.5%
0.5%
0.2¢ bid, 0.7¢ ask
polled, 3813 h ago
0.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
168
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3813 h agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 168
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 158 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $692
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 140
- 128
- 124
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in May 2026?". 140 last traded at 67.5%. Next is 128 at 55%. $68K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jun 1, 2026.
What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in May 2026?
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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