The Prediction Markets

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

FinalKickoff
Traded
$127K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 1, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
304
73.5%
Polymarket 73.5%polled, 3816 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
304
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$46K
Trade this on Polymarket
288
68.5%
Polymarket 68.5%polled, 3816 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
288
Last price
68.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
37¢
Volume
$89
Trade this on Polymarket
312
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 3816 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
312
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
280
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 3816 h agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
280
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
320
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 3816 h agoBest Yes 16.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $592 (5.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
320
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
16.9¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$592 (5.92x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
256
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 3816 h agoBest Yes 18.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $529 (5.29x)
Polymarket
Contract
256
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
18.9¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$529 (5.29x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
328
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 3816 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
328
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$329
Trade this on Polymarket
264
7.2%
Polymarket 7.2%polled, 3816 h agoBest Yes 9.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,042 (10.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
264
Last price
7.2%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
9.6¢
Sell Yes
4.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,042 (10.4x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
272
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 3816 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
272
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
232
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 3816 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
232
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$910
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
248
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 3816 h agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
248
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
216
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 3816 h agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
216
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$837
Trade this on Polymarket
224
1%
Polymarket 1%polled, 3816 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
224
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
240
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3816 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
240
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 304
  • 288
  • 312

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?". 304 last traded at 73.5%. Next is 288 at 68.5%. $127K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jun 1, 2026.

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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