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Trading ended on May 1, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 176 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
27694.8%94.8%90.1¢ bid, 99.4¢ askpolled, 4225 h ago99.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $101 (1.01x)27694.8%Polymarket 94.8%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 99.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
276
94.8%
94.8%
90.1¢ bid, 99.4¢ ask
polled, 4225 h ago
99.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
276
94.8%
Polymarket 94.8%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 99.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 276
- Last price
- 94.8%
- As of
- Polled 176 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 99.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 90.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $11K
28452.6%52.6%12.3¢ bid, 92.9¢ askpolled, 4225 h ago92.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $108 (1.08x)28452.6%Polymarket 52.6%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 92.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
284
52.6%
52.6%
12.3¢ bid, 92.9¢ ask
polled, 4225 h ago
92.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
284
52.6%
Polymarket 52.6%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 92.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 284
- Last price
- 52.6%
- As of
- Polled 176 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 92.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 12.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $2K
28050%50%16¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 4225 h ago84¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $119 (1.19x)28050%Polymarket 50%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
280
50%
50%
16¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 4225 h ago
84¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
280
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 280
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 176 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
- Volume
- $2K
26038.6%38.6%8.4¢ bid, 68.8¢ askpolled, 4225 h ago68.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $145 (1.45x)26038.6%Polymarket 38.6%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 68.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
260
38.6%
38.6%
8.4¢ bid, 68.8¢ ask
polled, 4225 h ago
68.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
260
38.6%
Polymarket 38.6%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 68.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 260
- Last price
- 38.6%
- As of
- Polled 176 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 68.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 8.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $1K
28833%33%3¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 4225 h ago63¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $159 (1.59x)28833%Polymarket 33%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
288
33%
33%
3¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 4225 h ago
63¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
288
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 288
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled 176 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $2K
29233%33%9¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 4225 h ago57¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $175 (1.75x)29233%Polymarket 33%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
292
33%
33%
9¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 4225 h ago
57¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
292
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 292
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled 176 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $1K
29630.1%30.1%0.5¢ bid, 59.6¢ askpolled, 4225 h ago59.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $168 (1.68x)29630.1%Polymarket 30.1%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 59.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $168 (1.68x)
296
30.1%
30.1%
0.5¢ bid, 59.6¢ ask
polled, 4225 h ago
59.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $168 (1.68x)
296
30.1%
Polymarket 30.1%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 59.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $168 (1.68x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 296
- Last price
- 30.1%
- As of
- Polled 176 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 59.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $168 (1.68x)
- Volume
- $752
26418%18%16¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 4225 h ago20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)26418%Polymarket 18%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
264
18%
18%
16¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 4225 h ago
20¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
264
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 264
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 176 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $436
25615.5%15.5%3¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 4225 h ago28¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $357 (3.57x)25615.5%Polymarket 15.5%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
256
15.5%
15.5%
3¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 4225 h ago
28¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
256
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 256
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled 176 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $400
24410.5%10.5%1.1¢ bid, 19.9¢ askpolled, 4225 h ago19.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $503 (5.03x)24410.5%Polymarket 10.5%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 19.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $503 (5.03x)
244
10.5%
10.5%
1.1¢ bid, 19.9¢ ask
polled, 4225 h ago
19.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $503 (5.03x)
244
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 19.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $503 (5.03x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 244
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 176 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 19.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $503 (5.03x)
- Volume
- $1K
2527.5%7.5%3¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 4225 h ago12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)2527.5%Polymarket 7.5%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
252
7.5%
7.5%
3¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 4225 h ago
12¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
252
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 252
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 176 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $1K
2486%6%1.1¢ bid, 10.9¢ askpolled, 4225 h ago10.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $917 (9.17x)2486%Polymarket 6%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 10.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $917 (9.17x)
248
6%
6%
1.1¢ bid, 10.9¢ ask
polled, 4225 h ago
10.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $917 (9.17x)
248
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 4225 h agoBest Yes 10.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $917 (9.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 248
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 176 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 10.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $917 (9.17x)
- Volume
- $1K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 276
- 284
- 280
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of April 27 2026?". 276 last traded at 94.8%. Next is 284 at 52.6%. $25K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on May 1, 2026.
What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of April 27 2026?
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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