The Prediction Markets

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 10)

Closed
Apr 10, 2026
Traded
$33K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 10, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Anthropic
93%
Polymarket 93%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anthropic
Last price
93%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Polymarket
Trump
91%
Polymarket 91%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 93.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $107 (1.07x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trump
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
93.8¢
Sell Yes
88.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$107 (1.07x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Google
83%
Polymarket 83%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Google
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
82%
Polymarket 82%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Polymarket
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$392
Trade this on Polymarket
Nvidia
74.5%
Polymarket 74.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nvidia
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$24
Trade this on Polymarket
Data Center
71%
Polymarket 71%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Data Center
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Software
68.5%
Polymarket 68.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Software
Last price
68.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
AI 15+ times
65.5%
Polymarket 65.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
AI 15+ times
Last price
65.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Construction
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Construction
Last price
61.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Regulatory
58%
Polymarket 58%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Regulatory
Last price
58%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$249
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 15 more outcomes
Safety
57%
Polymarket 57%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Safety
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mark Zuckerberg
56%
Polymarket 56%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mark Zuckerberg
Last price
56%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$69
Trade this on Polymarket
Poland
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Poland
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$97
Trade this on Polymarket
Silicon Valley 2+ times
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Silicon Valley 2+ times
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Cookie
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cookie
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Polymarket
Paris
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$53
Trade this on Polymarket
Alignment
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alignment
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$96
Trade this on Polymarket
China
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
China
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Polymarket
Deepfake
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Deepfake
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$66
Trade this on Polymarket
Structural change
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Structural change
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Polymarket
Winner
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Winner
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$110
Trade this on Polymarket
Constitution
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Constitution
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Polymarket
Token
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
Token
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Open Source
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Open Source
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Best friend
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Best friend
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 196 d ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$73
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Anthropic
  • Trump
  • Google

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 10)". Anthropic last traded at 93%. Next is Trump at 91%. $33K has traded across 25 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 10, 2026.

The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://allin.com/episodes) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered. If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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