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Trading ended on Apr 10, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Anthropic93%93%88¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Anthropic93%Polymarket 93%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
- Contract
- Anthropic
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $105
Trump91%91%88.2¢ bid, 93.8¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago93.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $107 (1.07x)Trump91%Polymarket 91%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 93.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $107 (1.07x)
- Contract
- Trump
- Last price
- 91%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 93.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 88.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $107 (1.07x)
- Volume
- $8K
Google83%83%68¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Google83%Polymarket 83%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
- Contract
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $139
Polymarket82%82%66¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Polymarket82%Polymarket 82%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
- Contract
- Polymarket
- Last price
- 82%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $392
Nvidia74.5%74.5%55¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago94¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Nvidia74.5%Polymarket 74.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
- Contract
- Nvidia
- Last price
- 74.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $24
Data Center71%71%44¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago98¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Data Center71%Polymarket 71%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
- Contract
- Data Center
- Last price
- 71%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 44¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $2K
Software68.5%68.5%40¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago97¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Software68.5%Polymarket 68.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
- Contract
- Software
- Last price
- 68.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $4K
AI 15+ times65.5%65.5%36¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago95¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $105 (1.05x)AI 15+ times65.5%Polymarket 65.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
- Contract
- AI 15+ times
- Last price
- 65.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $4K
Construction61.5%61.5%28¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago95¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Construction61.5%Polymarket 61.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
- Contract
- Construction
- Last price
- 61.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $60
Regulatory58%58%23¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago93¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Regulatory58%Polymarket 58%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
- Contract
- Regulatory
- Last price
- 58%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $249
Show 15 more outcomesHide 15 outcomes
Safety57%57%21¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago93¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Safety57%Polymarket 57%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
- Contract
- Safety
- Last price
- 57%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $5K
Mark Zuckerberg56%56%17¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago95¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Mark Zuckerberg56%Polymarket 56%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
- Contract
- Mark Zuckerberg
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $69
Poland49.5%49.5%5¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago94¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Poland49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
- Contract
- Poland
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $97
Silicon Valley 2+ times49.5%49.5%5¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago94¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Silicon Valley 2+ times49.5%Polymarket 49.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
- Contract
- Silicon Valley 2+ times
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $7K
Cookie48.5%48.5%2¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago95¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Cookie48.5%Polymarket 48.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
- Contract
- Cookie
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $50
Paris48.5%48.5%2¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago95¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Paris48.5%Polymarket 48.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
- Contract
- Paris
- Last price
- 48.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $53
Alignment48%48%2¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago94¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Alignment48%Polymarket 48%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
- Contract
- Alignment
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $96
China48%48%1¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago95¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $105 (1.05x)China48%Polymarket 48%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
- Contract
- China
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $139
Deepfake47%47%1¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago93¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Deepfake47%Polymarket 47%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
- Contract
- Deepfake
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $66
Structural change47%47%1¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago93¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Structural change47%Polymarket 47%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
- Contract
- Structural change
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $94
Winner47%47%1¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago93¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Winner47%Polymarket 47%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
- Contract
- Winner
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
- Volume
- $110
Constitution46.5%46.5%1¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago92¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $109 (1.09x)Constitution46.5%Polymarket 46.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
- Contract
- Constitution
- Last price
- 46.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $27
Token43.5%43.5%1¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago86¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Token43.5%Polymarket 43.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
- Contract
- Token
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
- Volume
- $7
Open Source41.5%41.5%39¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago44¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Open Source41.5%Polymarket 41.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
- Contract
- Open Source
- Last price
- 41.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $2K
Best friend40.5%40.5%1¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 4706 h ago80¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Best friend40.5%Polymarket 40.5%polled, 4706 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
- Contract
- Best friend
- Last price
- 40.5%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
- Volume
- $73
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:

- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Anthropic
- Trump
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 10)". Anthropic last traded at 93%. Next is Trump at 91%. $33K has traded across 25 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 10, 2026.
The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://allin.com/episodes) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered. If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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