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Trading ended on Jun 1, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
43556.5%56.5%56¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 3819 h ago57¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $175 (1.75x)43556.5%Polymarket 56.5%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
435
56.5%
56.5%
56¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 3819 h ago
57¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
435
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 435
- Last price
- 56.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $18K
45037.5%37.5%35¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 3819 h ago40¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $250 (2.50x)45037.5%Polymarket 37.5%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
450
37.5%
37.5%
35¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 3819 h ago
40¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
450
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 450
- Last price
- 37.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $3K
46515%15%11¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 3819 h ago19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)46515%Polymarket 15%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
465
15%
15%
11¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 3819 h ago
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
465
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 465
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $1K
39013.5%13.5%13¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3819 h ago14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)39013.5%Polymarket 13.5%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
390
13.5%
13.5%
13¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3819 h ago
14¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
390
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 390
- Last price
- 13.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $17K
4808.2%8.2%7.1¢ bid, 9.3¢ askpolled, 3819 h ago9.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)4808.2%Polymarket 8.2%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 9.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
480
8.2%
8.2%
7.1¢ bid, 9.3¢ ask
polled, 3819 h ago
9.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
480
8.2%
Polymarket 8.2%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 9.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 480
- Last price
- 8.2%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 7.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,075 (10.8x)
- Volume
- $582
4958.1%8.1%5.1¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3819 h ago11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)4958.1%Polymarket 8.1%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
495
8.1%
8.1%
5.1¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3819 h ago
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
495
8.1%
Polymarket 8.1%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 495
- Last price
- 8.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $267
3755.5%5.5%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3819 h ago6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)3755.5%Polymarket 5.5%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
375
5.5%
5.5%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3819 h ago
6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
375
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 375
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $2K
3605.1%5.1%3.3¢ bid, 6.8¢ askpolled, 3819 h ago6.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)3605.1%Polymarket 5.1%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
360
5.1%
5.1%
3.3¢ bid, 6.8¢ ask
polled, 3819 h ago
6.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
360
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 360
- Last price
- 5.1%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,471 (14.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
3452.9%2.9%0.8¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 3819 h ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)3452.9%Polymarket 2.9%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
345
2.9%
2.9%
0.8¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 3819 h ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
345
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 345
- Last price
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $27
5101.9%1.9%0.8¢ bid, 2.9¢ askpolled, 3819 h ago2.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)5101.9%Polymarket 1.9%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
510
1.9%
1.9%
0.8¢ bid, 2.9¢ ask
polled, 3819 h ago
2.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
510
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 510
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,448 (34.5x)
- Volume
- $628
3301.5%1.5%0.4¢ bid, 2.6¢ askpolled, 3819 h ago2.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)3301.5%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
330
1.5%
1.5%
0.4¢ bid, 2.6¢ ask
polled, 3819 h ago
2.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
330
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 2.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,846 (38.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 330
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,846 (38.5x)
- Volume
- $858
5251.4%1.4%0.6¢ bid, 2.2¢ askpolled, 3819 h ago2.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)5251.4%Polymarket 1.4%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
525
1.4%
1.4%
0.6¢ bid, 2.2¢ ask
polled, 3819 h ago
2.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
525
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 3819 h agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 525
- Last price
- 1.4%
- As of
- Polled 159 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,545 (45.5x)
- Volume
- $809
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- 435
- 450
- 465
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in May 2026?". 435 last traded at 56.5%. Next is 450 at 37.5%. $53K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jun 1, 2026.
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in May 2026?
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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