The Prediction Markets

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

FinalKickoff
Traded
$196K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 1, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
405
54%
Polymarket 54%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
405
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Polymarket
450
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
450
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Polymarket
390
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
390
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$169
Trade this on Polymarket
465
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
465
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$36K
Trade this on Polymarket
375
20.1%
Polymarket 20.1%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
375
Last price
20.1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Polymarket
480
9.9%
Polymarket 9.9%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
480
Last price
9.9%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
9.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Polymarket
360
8.6%
Polymarket 8.6%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 9.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,053 (10.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
360
Last price
8.6%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
9.5¢
Sell Yes
7.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,053 (10.5x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
495
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
495
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$63
Trade this on Polymarket
315
6.9%
Polymarket 6.9%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 12.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $775 (7.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
315
Last price
6.9%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
12.9¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$775 (7.75x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
510
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
510
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$217
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
345
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
345
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
330
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
330
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
300
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
300
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
285
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 3817 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
285
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 405
  • 450
  • 390

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?". 405 last traded at 54%. Next is 450 at 43%. $196K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jun 1, 2026.

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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