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Trading ended on Jul 4, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Header93%93%93¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Header93%Kalshi 93%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Header
93%
93%
93¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Header
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Header
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $1K
Visa88%88%88¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago89¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Visa88%Kalshi 88%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Visa
88%
88%
88¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
89¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Visa
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Visa
- Last price
- 88%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 88¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $4K
Comeback / Come Back83%83%83¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Comeback / Come Back83%Kalshi 83%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Comeback / Come Back
83%
83%
83¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Comeback / Come Back
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Comeback / Come Back
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 83¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
- Volume
- $699
Turf / Pitch83%83%82¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)Turf / Pitch83%Kalshi 83%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Turf / Pitch
83%
83%
82¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Turf / Pitch
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Turf / Pitch
- Last price
- 83%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 82¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
- Volume
- $701
History80%80%77¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)History80%Kalshi 80%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
History
80%
80%
77¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
History
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- History
- Last price
- 80%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $457
Captain77%77%76¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Captain77%Kalshi 77%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Captain
77%
77%
76¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Captain
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Captain
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
- Volume
- $3K
Champion75%75%74¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Champion75%Kalshi 75%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Champion
75%
75%
74¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Champion
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Champion
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
- Volume
- $300
Record70%70%66¢ bid, 68¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago68¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $147 (1.47x)Record70%Kalshi 70%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Record
70%
70%
66¢ bid, 68¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
68¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Record
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Record
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 68¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $147 (1.47x)
- Volume
- $545
Messi65%65%65¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Messi65%Kalshi 65%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Messi
65%
65%
65¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Messi
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Messi
- Last price
- 65%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
- Volume
- $361
Assist63%63%62¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Assist63%Kalshi 63%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Assist
63%
63%
62¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Assist
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Assist
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $827
Show 18 more outcomesHide 18 outcomes
Momentum59%59%56¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Momentum59%Kalshi 59%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Momentum
59%
59%
56¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Momentum
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Momentum
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $231
Ronaldo59%59%58¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Ronaldo59%Kalshi 59%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Ronaldo
59%
59%
58¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Ronaldo
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ronaldo
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $2K
Hattrick / Hat Trick53%53%52¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Hattrick / Hat Trick53%Kalshi 53%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Hattrick / Hat Trick
53%
53%
52¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Hattrick / Hat Trick
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hattrick / Hat Trick
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $953
Handball51%51%50¢ bid, 51¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago51¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $196 (1.96x)Handball51%Kalshi 51%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Handball
51%
51%
50¢ bid, 51¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
51¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Handball
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 51¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Handball
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 51¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $196 (1.96x)
- Volume
- $2K
Soccer44%44%42¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Soccer44%Kalshi 44%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Soccer
44%
44%
42¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Soccer
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Soccer
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 42¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $321
Qatar40%40%38¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Qatar40%Kalshi 40%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Qatar
40%
40%
38¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Qatar
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Qatar
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $950
Own Goal37%37%35¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Own Goal37%Kalshi 37%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Own Goal
37%
37%
35¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Own Goal
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Own Goal
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $783
Crossbar35%35%32¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Crossbar35%Kalshi 35%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Crossbar
35%
35%
32¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Crossbar
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Crossbar
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $290
Gianni / Infantino34%34%27¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Gianni / Infantino34%Kalshi 34%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Gianni / Infantino
34%
34%
27¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Gianni / Infantino
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gianni / Infantino
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $181
Red Card33%33%34¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Red Card33%Kalshi 33%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Red Card
33%
33%
34¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Red Card
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Red Card
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $1K
What a Save32%32%24¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)What a Save32%Kalshi 32%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
What a Save
32%
32%
24¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
What a Save
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- What a Save
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $4K
Penalty Shootout22%22%20¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Penalty Shootout22%Kalshi 22%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Penalty Shootout
22%
22%
20¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Penalty Shootout
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Penalty Shootout
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $238
Shutout18%18%17¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Shutout18%Kalshi 18%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Shutout
18%
18%
17¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Shutout
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shutout
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $522
Powerade16%16%15¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Powerade16%Kalshi 16%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Powerade
16%
16%
15¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Powerade
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Powerade
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $366
Nutmeg / Meg15%15%15¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Nutmeg / Meg15%Kalshi 15%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Nutmeg / Meg
15%
15%
15¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Nutmeg / Meg
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nutmeg / Meg
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $889
Trump8%8%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Trump8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Trump
8%
8%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Trump
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trump
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $3K
Lincoln Financial Field4%4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Lincoln Financial Field4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Lincoln Financial Field
4%
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Lincoln Financial Field
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lincoln Financial Field
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $13K
Event does not qualify1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3043 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Event does not qualify1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Event does not qualify
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3043 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Event does not qualify
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3043 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Event does not qualify
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $4K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Header
- Visa
- Comeback / Come Back
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "What will the announcers say during Brazil vs Haiti". Header last traded at 93%. Next is Visa at 88%. $46K has traded across 28 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 4, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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