The Prediction Markets

When will Future a release new album?

Closes
Oct 1, 2027, in 11 months
Traded
$107K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
4 min ago
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What the markets expect

Before Oct 1, 2027 82%

Next is Before Aug 1, 2027 at 72%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 8 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Before Oct 1, 2027
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Oct 1, 2027
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Aug 1, 2027
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Aug 1, 2027
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Jun 1, 2027
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Jun 1, 2027
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Apr 1, 2027
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Apr 1, 2027
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Feb 1, 2027
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Feb 1, 2027
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$407
Trade this on Kalshi
November 30
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
November 30
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
December 31
9.4%
Polymarket 6%polled, 8 min agoPolymarket 19.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
December 31
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$49K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
December 31
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Before Dec 1, 2026
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 8 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Dec 1, 2026
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 8 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$617
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Spotify

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Before Oct 1, 2027
  • Before Aug 1, 2027
  • Before Jun 1, 2027

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Before Oct 1, 2027 for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "When will Future a release new album?". Before Oct 1, 2027 leads at 82%. Next is Before Aug 1, 2027 at 72%. $107K has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 1, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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