The Prediction Markets

Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 10 - Oct 11)?

Closed
Oct 12, 2026
Traded
$38K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 12, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 16 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Atlanta
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atlanta
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$621
Trade this on Kalshi
Washington DC
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Washington DC
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
97¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Miami
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miami
Last price
93%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$406
Trade this on Kalshi
New York City
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
New York City
Last price
93%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Philadelphia
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Philadelphia
Last price
93%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
West Palm Beach
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
West Palm Beach
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Trenton
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trenton
Last price
91%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Newark
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Newark
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Las Vegas
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Las Vegas
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Boston
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Boston
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
57¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 13 more outcomes
Phoenix
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoenix
Last price
77%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$699
Trade this on Kalshi
New Orleans
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Orleans
Last price
75%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Los Angeles
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Los Angeles
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Seattle
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seattle
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chicago
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chicago
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Houston
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Houston
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Denver
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denver
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$198
Trade this on Kalshi
San Francisco
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Francisco
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$417
Trade this on Kalshi
Minneapolis
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Minneapolis
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$616
Trade this on Kalshi
San Antonio
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
San Antonio
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$125
Trade this on Kalshi
Dallas
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dallas
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Austin
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Austin
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$461
Trade this on Kalshi
Oklahoma City
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 390 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oklahoma City
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 16 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$186
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: The Weather Company

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Atlanta
  • Washington DC
  • Miami

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
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Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 10 - Oct 11)?". Atlanta last traded at 99%. Next is Washington DC at 98%. $38K has traded across 23 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 12, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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