The Prediction Markets

Who will be in the 2027 Big Game halftime show?

Closes
Feb 18, 2027, in 4 months
Traded
$106K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
2 h ago
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What the markets expect

Jay Z 95%

Next is Miley Cyrus at 27.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Jay Z
95%
Polymarket 95%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jay Z
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Miley Cyrus
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miley Cyrus
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kanye West
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kanye West
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Justin Bieber
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Bieber
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Polymarket
Luke Combs
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Luke Combs
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sabrina Carpenter
7.9%
Polymarket 7.9%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sabrina Carpenter
Last price
7.9%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
7.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Drake
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Dua Lipa
7.3%
Polymarket 7.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dua Lipa
Last price
7.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
7.3¢
Sell Yes
7.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,370 (13.7x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket
Taylor Swift
7.1%
Polymarket 7.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taylor Swift
Last price
7.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
Post Malone
6.6%
Polymarket 6.6%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Post Malone
Last price
6.6%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
6.6¢
Sell Yes
6.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,515 (15.2x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Harry Styles
6.3%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Harry Styles
Last price
6.3%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
6.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Olivia Rodrigo
6.1%
Polymarket 6.1%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Olivia Rodrigo
Last price
6.1%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
6.2¢
Sell Yes
5.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,613 (16.1x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jay Z
  • Miley Cyrus
  • Kanye West

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be in the 2027 Big Game halftime show?". Jay Z leads at 95%. Next is Miley Cyrus at 27.5%. $106K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 18, 2027.

Super Bowl LXI is scheduled to be played on February 14, 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person appears in the 2027 Super Bowl Halftime Show. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A person will be considered to appear in the Super Bowl Halftime Show if they appear live and in person on the official Super Bowl Halftime Show broadcast within one of the following areas: i) the field of play, including the end zones; ii) any surrounding field-level areas below the first level of stands, such as the sidelines, areas behind the end zones, and tunnels leading directly onto the field; or iii) any set, stage, rig, or platform built for the Halftime Show, wherever it stands in the stadium. No particular activity is required, and the length of the appearance does not impact resolution. The official broadcast refers to the official Super Bowl broadcaster’s primary national telecast of the 2027 National Football League Super Bowl in the United States, including the official broadcaster’s simultaneous official stream of that telecast. The Halftime Show is the entertainment program staged at the stadium between the second and third quarters of the National Football League Super Bowl and presented in the official broadcast, from the start of the program to its conclusion. The following will not qualify absent an appearance in the Super Bowl Halftime Show as defined above: attendance at the Super Bowl; an appearance on the official broadcast outside the designated areas, including in the stands, a suite, or another spectator area; an appearance before the Halftime Show begins or after it ends, including a rehearsal or soundcheck; or an appearance that is not live and in person, including a pre-recorded segment, a remote, satellite, holographic, or digitally projected appearance, or an artificial simulation or recreation of the listed person. If the official broadcast is unavailable for any period during the Halftime Show, an appearance occurring only during that period qualifies only if the NFL or the official broadcaster of the Super Bowl releases video of the listed person appearing in the Super Bowl Halftime Show by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the Super Bowl. Official video released by the NFL and the broadcaster includes video published later in the official broadcast, on their official website, application, streaming service, or official social media accounts. If the broadcast does not become unavailable during the Halftime Show, non-broadcast videos will not qualify for resolution. If no Super Bowl Halftime Show takes place by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the 2027 Super Bowl Halftime Show; however, videos of the 2027 Super Bowl Halftime Show released by its official broadcaster and the NFL may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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