The Prediction Markets

Who will perform at Coachella 2027?

Closes
Jul 1, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

SZA 91.5%

Next is Tame Impala at 90%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
SZA
91.5%
Polymarket 91.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
SZA
Last price
91.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$335
Trade this on Polymarket
Tame Impala
90%
Polymarket 90%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tame Impala
Last price
90%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$330
Trade this on Polymarket
Dua Lipa
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dua Lipa
Last price
54.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Polymarket
Taylor Swift
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taylor Swift
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$262
Trade this on Polymarket
Bad Bunny
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bad Bunny
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Harry Styles
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
Harry Styles
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Justin Bieber
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Bieber
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Olivia Rodrigo
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Olivia Rodrigo
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Travis Scott
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Travis Scott
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Polymarket
BLACKPINK
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
BLACKPINK
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 8 more outcomes
Kanye West
34.5%
Polymarket 34.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kanye West
Last price
34.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$121
Trade this on Polymarket
Billie Eilish
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Billie Eilish
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$130
Trade this on Polymarket
Sabrina Carpenter
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sabrina Carpenter
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
BTS
22%
Polymarket 22%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
BTS
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Polymarket
Drake
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Radiohead
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Radiohead
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
DJ Khaled
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
DJ Khaled
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$288
Trade this on Polymarket
Daft Punk
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 31s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Daft Punk
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
2.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • SZA
  • Tame Impala
  • Dua Lipa

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Who will perform at Coachella 2027?". SZA leads at 91.5%. Next is Tame Impala at 90%. $2K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

The 2027 Coachella Valley Music & Arts Festival is scheduled to take place on the weekends of April 9 - 11, 2027 and April 16 - 18, 2027 at the Empire Polo Club in Indio, California. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person at the 2027 Coachella Valley Music & Arts Festival between April 9 and April 18, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying performance includes any live appearance during a set, including guest appearances, even if the artist does not perform a full set. If this event is cancelled, postponed, or rescheduled beyond June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage of the 2027 Coachella Valley Music & Arts Festival however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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