Top of book
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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Lainey Wilson 31.6%
Next is Post Malone at 11.1%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Lainey Wilson31.6%46.5%31.6% fair46¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 5 h ago47¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Lainey Wilson31.6%Polymarket 46.5%(31.6% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Lainey Wilson
31.6%
46.5%
31.6% fair
46¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
47¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Lainey Wilson
31.6%
Polymarket 46.5%(31.6% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lainey Wilson
- Last price
- 46.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 31.6%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
Post Malone11.1%16.4%11.1% fair1.1¢ bid, 31.6¢ askpolled, 5 h ago31.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $316 (3.16x)Post Malone11.1%Polymarket 16.4%(11.1% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 31.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $316 (3.16x)
Post Malone
11.1%
16.4%
11.1% fair
1.1¢ bid, 31.6¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
31.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $316 (3.16x)
Post Malone
11.1%
Polymarket 16.4%(11.1% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 31.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $316 (3.16x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Post Malone
- Last price
- 16.4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 11.1%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 31.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $316 (3.16x)
Josh Groban10.9%16.1%10.9% fair1¢ bid, 31.1¢ askpolled, 5 h ago31.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $322 (3.22x)Josh Groban10.9%Polymarket 16.1%(10.9% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 31.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $322 (3.22x)
Josh Groban
10.9%
16.1%
10.9% fair
1¢ bid, 31.1¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
31.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $322 (3.22x)
Josh Groban
10.9%
Polymarket 16.1%(10.9% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 31.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $322 (3.22x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Josh Groban
- Last price
- 16.1%
- Fair, margin removed
- 10.9%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 31.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $322 (3.22x)
Kacey Musgraves10.9%16%10.9% fair1¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 5 h ago31¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Kacey Musgraves10.9%Polymarket 16%(10.9% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kacey Musgraves
10.9%
16%
10.9% fair
1¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
31¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kacey Musgraves
10.9%
Polymarket 16%(10.9% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kacey Musgraves
- Last price
- 16%
- Fair, margin removed
- 10.9%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
H.E.R.3.4%5.1%3.4% fair5¢ bid, 5.1¢ askpolled, 5 h ago5.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)H.E.R.3.4%Polymarket 5.1%(3.4% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
H.E.R.
3.4%
5.1%
3.4% fair
5¢ bid, 5.1¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
5.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
H.E.R.
3.4%
Polymarket 5.1%(3.4% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- H.E.R.
- Last price
- 5.1%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,961 (19.6x)
- Volume
- $70
Ariana Grande3.2%4.8%3.2% fair3.1¢ bid, 6.4¢ askpolled, 5 h ago6.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)Ariana Grande3.2%Polymarket 4.8%(3.2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Ariana Grande
3.2%
4.8%
3.2% fair
3.1¢ bid, 6.4¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
6.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Ariana Grande
3.2%
Polymarket 4.8%(3.2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ariana Grande
- Last price
- 4.8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,563 (15.6x)
- Volume
- $2K
Lady Gaga2.4%3.5%2.3% fair2¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 5 h ago4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Lady Gaga2.4%Polymarket 3.5%(2.3% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Lady Gaga
2.4%
3.5%
2.3% fair
2¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Lady Gaga
2.4%
Polymarket 3.5%(2.3% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lady Gaga
- Last price
- 3.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
SZA2.3%3.4%2.3% fair1.8¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 5 h ago4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)SZA2.3%Polymarket 3.4%(2.3% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
SZA
2.3%
3.4%
2.3% fair
1.8¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
SZA
2.3%
Polymarket 3.4%(2.3% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- SZA
- Last price
- 3.4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $2K
Alicia Keys2.2%3.2%2.1% fair1.3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 h ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Alicia Keys2.2%Polymarket 3.2%(2.1% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Alicia Keys
2.2%
3.2%
2.1% fair
1.3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Alicia Keys
2.2%
Polymarket 3.2%(2.1% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alicia Keys
- Last price
- 3.2%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Andra Day2.1%3.1%2.1% fair1.2¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 5 h ago4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Andra Day2.1%Polymarket 3.1%(2.1% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Andra Day
2.1%
3.1%
2.1% fair
1.2¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Andra Day
2.1%
Polymarket 3.1%(2.1% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Andra Day
- Last price
- 3.1%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $3K
Show 10 more outcomesHide 10 outcomes
Beyoncé2.1%3%2% fair1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 h ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Beyoncé2.1%Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Beyoncé
2.1%
3%
2% fair
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Beyoncé
2.1%
Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Beyoncé
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Carrie Underwood2.1%3%2% fair1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 h ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Carrie Underwood2.1%Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Carrie Underwood
2.1%
3%
2% fair
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Carrie Underwood
2.1%
Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Carrie Underwood
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Christina Aguilera2%3%2% fair1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 h ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Christina Aguilera2%Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Christina Aguilera
2%
3%
2% fair
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Christina Aguilera
2%
Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Christina Aguilera
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Jennifer Hudson2%3%2% fair1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 h ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Jennifer Hudson2%Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Jennifer Hudson
2%
3%
2% fair
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Jennifer Hudson
2%
Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jennifer Hudson
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Kelly Clarkson2%3%2% fair1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 h ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Kelly Clarkson2%Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kelly Clarkson
2%
3%
2% fair
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kelly Clarkson
2%
Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kelly Clarkson
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Mariah Carey2%3%2% fair1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 h ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Mariah Carey2%Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Mariah Carey
2%
3%
2% fair
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Mariah Carey
2%
Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mariah Carey
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Mary J. Blige2%3%2% fair1¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 5 h ago4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Mary J. Blige2%Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Mary J. Blige
2%
3%
2% fair
1¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Mary J. Blige
2%
Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mary J. Blige
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
Rihanna2%3%2% fair1¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 5 h ago4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Rihanna2%Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Rihanna
2%
3%
2% fair
1¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Rihanna
2%
Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rihanna
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
Usher2%3%2% fair1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 5 h ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Usher2%Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Usher
2%
3%
2% fair
1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Usher
2%
Polymarket 3%(2% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Usher
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Chris Stapleton1.7%2.5%1.7% fair1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 5 h ago4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Chris Stapleton1.7%Polymarket 2.5%(1.7% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Chris Stapleton
1.7%
2.5%
1.7% fair
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 5 h ago
4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Chris Stapleton
1.7%
Polymarket 2.5%(1.7% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Chris Stapleton
- Last price
- 2.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 1.7%
- As of
- Polled 5 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Lainey Wilson
- Post Malone
- Josh Groban
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Who will sing the national anthem at the 2027 Big Game?". Lainey Wilson leads at 31.6%. Next is Post Malone at 11.1%. $7K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 15, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the primary vocal performer of the national anthem at Super Bowl LXI, currently scheduled for February 14, 2027. If multiple individuals perform the national anthem, this market will resolve according to the performer billed as the primary national anthem vocal performer by the NFL. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no vocal national anthem performance within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of Super Bowl LXI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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