The Prediction Markets

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 19 above___?

Closes
Oct 23, 2026, in 22 hours
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

205 93.2%

Next is 200 at 92.8%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
205
93.2%
Polymarket 93.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
205
Last price
93.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95.3¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Trade this on Polymarket
200
92.8%
Polymarket 92.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
200
Last price
92.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.6¢
Sell Yes
85.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
195
90.8%
Polymarket 90.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
195
Last price
90.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
81.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
190
89%
Polymarket 89%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
190
Last price
89%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
78.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
185
88.9%
Polymarket 88.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
185
Last price
88.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
77.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$12
Trade this on Polymarket
210
72%
Polymarket 72%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
210
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$106
Trade this on Polymarket
215
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
215
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$534
Trade this on Polymarket
235
19.6%
Polymarket 19.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
235
Last price
19.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
220
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
220
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$395
Trade this on Polymarket
245
15.3%
Polymarket 15.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $329 (3.29x)
Polymarket
Contract
245
Last price
15.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$329 (3.29x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 3 more outcomes
225
14.4%
Polymarket 14.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $358 (3.58x)
Polymarket
Contract
225
Last price
14.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27.9¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$358 (3.58x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Polymarket
240
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 26.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $373 (3.73x)
Polymarket
Contract
240
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
26.8¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$373 (3.73x)
Trade this on Polymarket
230
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $690 (6.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
230
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14.5¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$690 (6.90x)
Volume
$93
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 205
  • 200
  • 195

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 19 above___?". 205 leads at 93.2%. Next is 200 at 92.8%. $1K has traded across 13 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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