The Prediction Markets

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 30 above___?

Closed
Apr 3, 2026
Traded
$31K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Apr 3, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 202 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
340
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4868 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
340
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
345
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4868 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
345
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
350
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4868 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
350
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
355
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4868 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
355
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
360
100%
Polymarket 100%polled, 4868 h ago
Polymarket
Contract
360
Last price
100%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99.9¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
365
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4868 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
365
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
375
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4868 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
375
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
380
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4868 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
380
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
385
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4868 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
385
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
390
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4868 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
390
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$616
Trade this on Polymarket
395
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4868 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
395
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$827
Trade this on Polymarket
400
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 4868 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
400
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 202 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: finance.yahoo.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 340
  • 345
  • 350

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 30 above___?". 340 last traded at 100%. Next is 345 at 100%. $31K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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