The Prediction Markets

AI / Tech Events

837 events · Page 14 of 17

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Event

Category

Platforms

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic

59.0%

$590

$399K

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

70-80B

26.5%

$928

$86K

—

📊 ai_tech

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Before Jan 1, 2030

59.0%

$650

$249K

—

📊 ai_tech

45mo

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

Yes

13.5%

$1K

$30K

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

Rain in Dallas in Apr 2026?

Above 2 inches

99.0%

$2K

$11K

—

📊 ai_tech

24d

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

Anthropic

76.0%

$761

$102K

—

📊 ai_tech

167mo

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Yes

21.0%

$558

$244K

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

Rain in Austin in Apr 2026?

Above 1 inch

99.0%

$1K

$14K

—

📊 ai_tech

24d

Jamie Dimon leaves JPMorgan Chase?

Before 2027

10.0%

$861

$52K

—

📊 ai_tech

9mo

When will Tim Cook leave Apple?

Before 2027

25.0%

$561

$182K

#10

—

📊 ai_tech

9mo

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?

April 30

10.5%

$917

$35K

#11

—

📊 ai_tech

DoorDash Total Orders in Q1?

above 900 million

92.0%

$1K

$11K

#12

—

📊 ai_tech

3mo

Will the Canadian Liberals gain a majority government in 2026?

Liberal

97.0%

$1K

$9K

#13

—

📊 ai_tech

9mo

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Anthropic

39.5%

$945

$26K

#14

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Yes

60.0%

$470

$257K

#15

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Citigroup

2.1%

$420

$364K

#16

—

📊 ai_tech

2mo

Claude 4.7 released by...?

June 30

61.0%

$643

$79K

#17

—

📊 ai_tech

2mo

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

OpenAI

59.0%

$299

$891K

#18

—

📊 ai_tech

9mo

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Yes

3.5%

$275

$1.1M

#19

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?

↑ 1550

53.0%

$598

$78K

#20

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Yes

16.0%

$368

$388K

#21

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

#1 Searched Person on Google in 2026?

Donald Trump

23.0%

$640

$59K

#22

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

Yes

0.1%

$748

$33K

#23

—

📊 ai_tech

Ended

Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by...?

April 30

18.0%

$723

$36K

#24

—

📊 ai_tech

Ended

Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?

Yes

0.1%

$801

$22K

#25

—

📊 ai_tech

Ended

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Yes

19.5%

$543

$79K

#26

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

Uber Trips in Q1?

above 3.6 billion

50.0%

$638

$44K

#27

—

📊 ai_tech

3mo

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

↑ 14,000

69.5%

$636

$30K

#28

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030

56.0%

$251

$624K

#29

—

📊 ai_tech

45mo

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Yes

76.5%

$404

$113K

#30

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Yes

8.5%

$387

$104K

#31

—

📊 ai_tech

2mo

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?

April 30

25.0%

$435

$56K

#32

—

📊 ai_tech

Ended

Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B

Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?

50.9%

$347

$118K

#33

—

📊 ai_tech

Ended

Will Anthropic release Claude 5 this year?

Before 2027

89.0%

$431

$55K

#34

—

📊 ai_tech

9mo

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?

↑ $184

71.5%

$494

$30K

#35

—

📊 ai_tech

24d

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

OpenAI

27.5%

$152

$1.4M

#36

—

📊 ai_tech

2mo

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Yes

20.5%

$493

$28K

#37

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

Best AI in Apr 2026?

Claude

90.0%

$593

$15K

#38

—

📊 ai_tech

24d

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Yes

8.0%

$412

$49K

#39

—

📊 ai_tech

23d

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Yes

4.0%

$345

$65K

#40

—

📊 ai_tech

2mo

Who will be the world's first trillionaire?

Elon Musk

88.0%

$216

$224K

#41

—

📊 ai_tech

45mo

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?

Before 2030

66.0%

$332

$52K

#42

—

📊 ai_tech

45mo

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Yes

35.5%

$288

$73K

#43

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

Will Apple Music's Individual Plan increase before 2027?

Before 2027

37.0%

$500

$12K

#44

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?

Yes

10.5%

$272

$87K

#45

—

📊 ai_tech

23d

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

December 31, 2026

24.0%

$255

$105K

#46

—

📊 ai_tech

2mo

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

54.0%

$161

$403K

#47

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

AI capability growth before July?

At least 1525 score

52.0%

$220

$140K

#48

—

📊 ai_tech

2mo

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Yes

26.5%

$199

$190K

#49

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?

Goldman Sachs

41.0%

$241

$80K

#50

—

📊 ai_tech

8mo

Sort:

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

59.0%

Vol

$399K

24H Vol

$590

Trend

8mo

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

26.5%

Vol

$86K

24H Vol

$928

Trend

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

59.0%

Vol

$249K

24H Vol

$650

Trend

45mo

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

13.5%

Vol

$30K

24H Vol

$1K

Trend

8mo

Rain in Dallas in Apr 2026?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

99.0%

Vol

$11K

24H Vol

$2K

Trend

24d

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

76.0%

Vol

$102K

24H Vol

$761

Trend

167mo

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

21.0%

Vol

$244K

24H Vol

$558

Trend

8mo

Rain in Austin in Apr 2026?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

99.0%

Vol

$14K

24H Vol

$1K

Trend

24d

Jamie Dimon leaves JPMorgan Chase?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

10.0%

Vol

$52K

24H Vol

$861

Trend

9mo

When will Tim Cook leave Apple?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

25.0%

Vol

$182K

24H Vol

$561

Trend

#10

9mo

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

10.5%

Vol

$35K

24H Vol

$917

Trend

#11

DoorDash Total Orders in Q1?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

92.0%

Vol

$11K

24H Vol

$1K

Trend

#12

3mo

Will the Canadian Liberals gain a majority government in 2026?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

97.0%

Vol

$9K

24H Vol

$1K

Trend

#13

9mo

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

39.5%

Vol

$26K

24H Vol

$945

Trend

#14

8mo

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

60.0%

Vol

$257K

24H Vol

$470

Trend

#15

8mo

Which banks will fail by June 30?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

2.1%

Vol

$364K

24H Vol

$420

Trend

#16

2mo

Claude 4.7 released by...?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

61.0%

Vol

$79K

24H Vol

$643

Trend

#17

2mo

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

59.0%

Vol

$891K

24H Vol

$299

Trend

#18

9mo

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

3.5%

Vol

$1.1M

24H Vol

$275

Trend

#19

8mo

Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

53.0%

Vol

$78K

24H Vol

$598

Trend

#20

8mo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

📊 ai_tech

Odds

16.0%

Vol

$388K

24H Vol

$368

Trend

#21

8mo

#1 Searched Person on Google in 2026?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

23.0%

Vol

$59K

24H Vol

$640

Trend

#22

8mo

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

0.1%

Vol

$33K

24H Vol

$748

Trend

#23

Ended

Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by...?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

18.0%

Vol

$36K

24H Vol

$723

Trend

#24

Ended

Will NewJeans perform again by March 31?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

0.1%

Vol

$22K

24H Vol

$801

Trend

#25

Ended

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

19.5%

Vol

$79K

24H Vol

$543

Trend

#26

8mo

Uber Trips in Q1?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

50.0%

Vol

$44K

24H Vol

$638

Trend

#27

3mo

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

69.5%

Vol

$30K

24H Vol

$636

Trend

#28

8mo

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

56.0%

Vol

$624K

24H Vol

$251

Trend

#29

45mo

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

76.5%

Vol

$113K

24H Vol

$404

Trend

#30

8mo

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

8.5%

Vol

$104K

24H Vol

$387

Trend

#31

2mo

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

25.0%

Vol

$56K

24H Vol

$435

Trend

#32

Ended

Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B

📊 ai_tech

Odds

50.9%

Vol

$118K

24H Vol

$347

Trend

#33

Ended

Will Anthropic release Claude 5 this year?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

89.0%

Vol

$55K

24H Vol

$431

Trend

#34

9mo

What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in April 2026?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

71.5%

Vol

$30K

24H Vol

$494

Trend

#35

24d

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

27.5%

Vol

$1.4M

24H Vol

$152

Trend

#36

2mo

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

20.5%

Vol

$28K

24H Vol

$493

Trend

#37

8mo

Best AI in Apr 2026?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

90.0%

Vol

$15K

24H Vol

$593

Trend

#38

24d

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

8.0%

Vol

$49K

24H Vol

$412

Trend

#39

23d

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

4.0%

Vol

$65K

24H Vol

$345

Trend

#40

2mo

Who will be the world's first trillionaire?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

88.0%

Vol

$224K

24H Vol

$216

Trend

#41

45mo

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

66.0%

Vol

$52K

24H Vol

$332

Trend

#42

45mo

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

35.5%

Vol

$73K

24H Vol

$288

Trend

#43

8mo

Will Apple Music's Individual Plan increase before 2027?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

37.0%

Vol

$12K

24H Vol

$500

Trend

#44

8mo

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

10.5%

Vol

$87K

24H Vol

$272

Trend

#45

23d

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

24.0%

Vol

$105K

24H Vol

$255

Trend

#46

2mo

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

54.0%

Vol

$403K

24H Vol

$161

Trend

#47

8mo

AI capability growth before July?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

52.0%

Vol

$140K

24H Vol

$220

Trend

#48

2mo

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

26.5%

Vol

$190K

24H Vol

$199

Trend

#49

8mo

Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?

📊 ai_tech

Odds

41.0%

Vol

$80K

24H Vol

$241

Trend

#50

8mo