Climate Events
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PolymarketTotal Events:239Observed times shown per event
KalshiPolymarketTotal Events:239
Observed times shown per event
All categories🏛️ Politics📈 Economics⚽ Sports₿ Crypto📊 AI / Tech🌍 World🎭 Culture📊 Climate🔬 Science📊 Other
239 results · 201–239Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
18°C 100% | $679 | Awaiting result | View | |
32°C 99% | $576 | Ending now | View | |
 Precipitation in Seattle in October? 📊 Climate | <1.75" 82% | $561 | Jan 8, 2027 | View |
10°C 99% | $538 | Awaiting result | View | |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? 📊 Climate | Yes 6% | $512 | Mar 1, 2027 | View |
39°C 100% | $507 | Awaiting result | View | |
34°C 99% | $471 | Awaiting result | View | |
Ebola pandemic in 2026? 📊 Climate | Yes 2% | $469 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Precipitation in London in October? 📊 Climate | 70-85mm 56% | $459 | Jan 8, 2027 | View |
31°C 100% | $446 | Awaiting result | View | |
9°C 99% | $382 | Awaiting result | View | |
Precipitation in NYC in October? 📊 Climate | <3" 95% | $300 | Jan 8, 2027 | View |
1st hottest 96% | $295 | Nov 29 | View | |
12°C 54% | $238 | Awaiting result | View | |
33°C 99% | $229 | Awaiting result | View | |
Japan 35% | $216 | in 12 days | View | |
7.70 ft or more 82% | $139 | Apr 1, 2027 | View | |
7.5+ 100% | $101 | in 9 days | View | |
Hawaii 8% | $79 | Dec 8 | Compare | |
86 to 95 km/h 52% | $70 | in 9 days | View | |
Yes 14% | $60 | Dec 1 | View | |
7.9 or below 72% | $59 | Jan 7, 2027 | View | |
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? 📊 Climate | Yes 4% | $55 | Feb 1, 2027 | View |
1.45–1.49ºC 38% | $5 | Dec 2 | View | |
March 31, 2027 50% | $0 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 6% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Yes 97% | — | Apr 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 7% | — | Jan 12, 2027 | View | |
Yes 4% | — | Jan 8, 2027 | Compare | |
1-3 98% | — | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Yes 7% | — | Dec 31 | View | |
Yes 68% | — | Apr 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 5% | — | Dec 31 | View | |
Yes 1% | — | Feb 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 7% | — | Dec 31 | Compare | |
10°C 50% | — | Awaiting result | View | |
Yes 17% | — | Jul 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 3% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
1250+ 93% | — | Jan 11, 2027 | View |
- Highest temperature in Qingdao on October 22?18°C$679 todayEnds Awaiting result100%
- Highest temperature in Singapore on October 22?32°C$576 todayEnds Ending now99%
- Precipitation in Seattle in October?<1.75"$561 todayEnds Jan 8, 202782%
- Highest temperature in Moscow on October 22?10°C$538 todayEnds Awaiting result99%
- 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Yes$512 todayEnds Mar 1, 20276%
- Highest temperature in Karachi on October 22?39°C$507 todayEnds Awaiting result100%
- Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on October 22?34°C$471 todayEnds Awaiting result99%
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?Yes$469 todayEnds Jan 1, 20272%
- Precipitation in London in October?70-85mm$459 todayEnds Jan 8, 202756%
- Highest temperature in Lucknow on October 22?31°C$446 todayEnds Awaiting result100%
- Lowest temperature in Paris on October 22?9°C$382 todayEnds Awaiting result99%
- Precipitation in NYC in October?<3"$300 todayEnds Jan 8, 202795%
- October 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?1st hottest$295 todayEnds Nov 2996%
- Lowest temperature in Wellington on October 22?12°C$238 todayEnds Awaiting result54%
- Highest temperature in Manila on October 22?33°C$229 todayEnds Awaiting result99%
- Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?Japan$216 todayEnds in 12 days35%
- Highest sea level in San Diego this winter?7.70 ft or more$139 todayEnds Apr 1, 202782%
- How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?7.5+$101 todayEnds in 9 days100%
Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?Hawaii$79 todayEnds Dec 88%- Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in October86 to 95 km/h$70 todayEnds in 9 days52%
- All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?Yes$60 todayEnds Dec 114%
- Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?7.9 or below$59 todayEnds Jan 7, 202772%
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes$55 todayEnds Feb 1, 20274%
- October 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)1.45–1.49ºC$5 todayEnds Dec 238%
- Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?March 31, 2027$0 todayEnds Jan 1, 202750%
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?YesEnds Jan 1, 20276%
- Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?YesEnds Apr 1, 202797%
- Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?YesEnds Jan 12, 20277%
- Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?YesEnds Jan 8, 20274%
- How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?1-3Ends Dec 198%
- Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?YesEnds Dec 317%
- Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?YesEnds Apr 1, 202768%
- Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?YesEnds Dec 315%
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?YesEnds Feb 1, 20271%
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?YesEnds Dec 317%
- Lowest temperature in Wuhan on October 22?10°CEnds Awaiting result50%
- Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?YesEnds Jul 1, 202717%
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?YesEnds Jan 1, 20273%
- How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?1250+Ends Jan 11, 202793%