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PolymarketTotal Events:1,480Observed times shown per event
Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:1,480
Observed times shown per event
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1,480 results Β· 251β300Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Anthropic 92% | $32 | in 8 days | Compare | |
#1 Searched Athlete on Google 2026? π Ai_tech | Erling Braut Haaland 40% | $30 | Dec 31 | View |
ChatGPT Dots on the free plan by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 37% | $30 | in 8 days | View |
Yes 21% | $28 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026? π Ai_tech | Dolly Parton 61% | $27 | Dec 31 | View |
Anthropic 93% | $27 | in 7 days | Compare | |
November 30 56% | $25 | in 8 days | View | |
Situational Awareness raises new capital by...? π Ai_tech | October 31 10% | $25 | in 8 days | View |
None in 2026 68% | $21 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Yes 9% | $21 | Dec 1 | View | |
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above __? π Ai_tech | $20B 82% | $20 | Dec 10 | View |
Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...? π Ai_tech | January 31 41% | $20 | Dec 31 | View |
Anthropic 49% | $20 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
$28B 85% | $20 | in 5 days | View | |
OpenAI 7% | $20 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Muse on Meta glasses by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 72% | $20 | in 8 days | View |
β $25 85% | $20 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 46% | $20 | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare | |
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 87% | $20 | Nov 30 | View |
OpenAI acquired before 2027? π Ai_tech | Yes 3% | $16 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
December 31, 2026 20% | $15 | in 8 days | View | |
Anthropic 81% | $15 | Dec 1 | Compare | |
$11.2B 79% | $13 | in 5 days | View | |
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...? π Ai_tech | October 31, 2026 3% | $11 | in 8 days | View |
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? π Ai_tech | Yes 6% | $10 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
β$1.475T 67% | $10 | in 8 days | View | |
Yes 7% | $10 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above __? π Ai_tech | $55.5B 88% | $8 | in 10 days | View |
β $15 40% | $7 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
JIO Platforms IPO by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 100% | $7 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Grok 5 released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 37% | $6 | in 8 days | View |
December 31 4% | $5 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...? π Ai_tech | October 31 42% | $5 | in 8 days | View |
Google 80% | $5 | in 7 days | Compare | |
Yes 10% | $3 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
$100B 81% | $2 | Nov 18 | View | |
Yes 14% | $2 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? π Ai_tech | Yes 5% | $2 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
December 31, 2026 8% | $2 | in 8 days | View | |
Yes 12% | $1 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? π Ai_tech | Yes 2% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Anthropicβs valuation end of November 2026? π Ai_tech | $500-$750B 44% | β | Dec 1 | View |
OpenAI 80% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
$340 86% | β | in 7 days | View | |
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? π Ai_tech | Yes 2% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
SB Energy IPO by...? π Ai_tech | October 31 16% | β | in 8 days | View |
December 31 28% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? π Ai_tech | Yes 76% | β | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Yes 31% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 9% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Anthropic$32 todayEnds in 8 days92%
#1 Searched Athlete on Google 2026?Erling Braut Haaland$30 todayEnds Dec 3140%
ChatGPT Dots on the free plan by...?December 31$30 todayEnds in 8 days37%
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Yes$28 todayEnds Jan 1, 202721%
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?Dolly Parton$27 todayEnds Dec 3161%
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?Anthropic$27 todayEnds in 7 days93%
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?November 30$25 todayEnds in 8 days56%
Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?October 31$25 todayEnds in 8 days10%
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?None in 2026$21 todayEnds Jan 1, 202768%
Anthropic commits shares to Trump Accounts by November 30?Yes$21 todayEnds Dec 19%
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above __?$20B$20 todayEnds Dec 1082%
Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?January 31$20 todayEnds Dec 3141%
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?Anthropic$20 todayEnds Jan 1, 202749%
Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Cloud Revenue be above __?$28B$20 todayEnds in 5 days85%
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?OpenAI$20 todayEnds Jan 1, 20277%
Muse on Meta glasses by...?December 31$20 todayEnds in 8 days72%
What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?β $25$20 todayEnds Jan 1, 202785%
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?Yes$20 todayEnds Jan 1, 202846%
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?December 31$20 todayEnds Nov 3087%
OpenAI acquired before 2027?Yes$16 todayEnds Jan 1, 20273%
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?December 31, 2026$15 todayEnds in 8 days20%
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?Anthropic$15 todayEnds Dec 181%
Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 YouTube ads revenue be above __?$11.2B$13 todayEnds in 5 days79%
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?October 31, 2026$11 todayEnds in 8 days3%
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?Yes$10 todayEnds Jan 1, 20276%
Will Anthropicβs valuation hit __ by October 31?β$1.475T$10 todayEnds in 8 days67%
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Yes$10 todayEnds Jan 1, 20277%
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above __?$55.5B$8 todayEnds in 10 days88%
What will GPT Sol's output token price hit in 2026?β $15$7 todayEnds Jan 1, 202740%
JIO Platforms IPO by...?December 31$7 todayEnds Jan 1, 2027100%
Grok 5 released by...?December 31$6 todayEnds in 8 days37%
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?December 31$5 todayEnds Jan 1, 20274%
GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?October 31$5 todayEnds in 8 days42%
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?Google$5 todayEnds in 7 days80%
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Yes$3 todayEnds Jan 1, 202710%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 Data Center Revenue be above __?$100B$2 todayEnds Nov 1881%
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?Yes$2 todayEnds Jan 1, 202714%
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes$2 todayEnds Jan 1, 20275%
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?December 31, 2026$2 todayEnds in 8 days8%
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Yes$1 todayEnds Jan 1, 202712%
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?YesEnds Jan 1, 20272%
Anthropicβs valuation end of November 2026?$500-$750BEnds Dec 144%
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?OpenAIEnds Jan 1, 202780%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of October?$340Ends in 7 days86%
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?YesEnds Jan 1, 20272%
SB Energy IPO by...?October 31Ends in 8 days16%
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?December 31Ends Jan 1, 202728%
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?YesEnds Jan 1, 202876%
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 202731%
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 20279%