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PolymarketTotal Events:1,980Observed times shown per event
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Observed times shown per event
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1,980 results · 1–50Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Before Apr 1, 2027 91% | $224K | Apr 1, 2027 | Compare | |
  Google market share this week 📊 Ai_tech | Above 16.6% 94% | $178K | in 3 days | Compare |
Best AI at the end of 2026? 📊 Ai_tech | Claude 47% | $50K | Dec 31 | View |
Best AI in Oct 2026? 📊 Ai_tech | Gemini 87% | $40K | in 8 days | View |
Anthropic market share this week 📊 Ai_tech | Above 3.7% 99% | $30K | in 3 days | Compare |
OpenAI market share this week 📊 Ai_tech | Above 16.5% 99% | $26K | in 3 days | Compare |
Above 22.3% 99% | $23K | in 1h | View | |
Above 8 99% | $22K | in 9 days | Compare | |
Above 32.4% 99% | $22K | in 1h | View | |
Above 13.1% 99% | $21K | in 1h | View | |
Above 11.1% 99% | $20K | in 1h | View | |
Above 6.6% 99% | $20K | in 1h | View | |
Best AI this week 📊 Ai_tech | Gemini 95% | $17K | in 3 days | View |
Above 5.0% 99% | $14K | in 1h | View | |
Above 560 97% | $12K | Mar 31, 2028 | View | |
Above 225 million 93% | $8K | Mar 31, 2028 | View | |
Before Jan 1, 2027 30% | $6K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Above 120 99% | $4K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Thomas Oliveira 24% | $3K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Above 180 million 99% | $3K | Mar 31, 2028 | View | |
Before 2027 15% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? 📊 Ai_tech | Before Dec 31, 2026 48% | $2K | Nov 13 | Compare |
When will any company achieve AGI? 📊 Ai_tech | Before Jan 1, 2030 81% | $2K | Jan 1, 2031 | View |
Ornn 19% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
OpenAI 13% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
SpaceX Starship 15th launch? 📊 Ai_tech | Before Dec 11, 2026 93% | $2K | Dec 11 | Compare |
Meta 90% | $2K | Dec 31 | View | |
Above 790 million 95% | $1K | Mar 31, 2028 | View | |
When will Anthropic release Mythos? 📊 Ai_tech | Before Jan 1, 2027 10% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Tesla Optimus released this year? 📊 Ai_tech | Before 2027 8% | $1K | Dec 31 | View |
Xiaomi 63% | $1K | in 11 days | Compare | |
Clip-on device for clothing 8% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Spotify headcount in 2026 📊 Ai_tech | Above 7100 86% | $1K | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Before Jan 1, 2027 48% | $925 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Anthropic / Claude 90% | $855 | Jan 26, 2027 | View | |
4 46% | $772 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Above $50 billion 97% | $770 | May 12, 2027 | View | |
Before 2027 28% | $677 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
AI capability growth this year? 📊 Ai_tech | At least 1540 score 52% | $583 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Siri 96% | $541 | Nov 12 | View | |
Meta headcount in 2026 📊 Ai_tech | Above 65000 97% | $518 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Above $1.46 10% | $510 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Claude 21% | $487 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Anthropic 77% | $464 | Dec 31 | Compare | |
Above 0 88% | $457 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Hires 3% | $451 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Top Chinese AI company this month 📊 Ai_tech | Xiaomi 70% | $417 | in 8 days | View |
Gemini (3+ times) 98% | $363 | Mar 31, 2027 | View | |
Above $205 98% | $335 | Apr 27, 2027 | View | |
Before 2027 8% | $290 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?Before Apr 1, 2027$224K todayEnds Apr 1, 202791%
- Google market share this weekAbove 16.6%$178K todayEnds in 3 days94%
- Best AI at the end of 2026?Claude$50K todayEnds Dec 3147%
- Best AI in Oct 2026?Gemini$40K todayEnds in 8 days87%
- Anthropic market share this weekAbove 3.7%$30K todayEnds in 3 days99%
- OpenAI market share this weekAbove 16.5%$26K todayEnds in 3 days99%
- OpenAI share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 22.3%$23K todayEnds in 1h99%
- How many launches will SpaceX have in October?Above 8$22K todayEnds in 9 days99%
- Anthropic share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 32.4%$22K todayEnds in 1h99%
- OpenAI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 13.1%$21K todayEnds in 1h99%
- Google share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 11.1%$20K todayEnds in 1h99%
- Anthropic share of requests on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 6.6%$20K todayEnds in 1h99%
- Best AI this weekGemini$17K todayEnds in 3 days95%
- Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 22, 2026 (Vercel)Above 5.0%$14K todayEnds in 1h99%
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026Above 560$12K todayEnds Mar 31, 202897%
- Southwest Airlines seats flown in 2026Above 225 million$8K todayEnds Mar 31, 202893%
- When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?Before Jan 1, 2027$6K todayEnds Jan 1, 202730%
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?Above 120$4K todayEnds Jan 1, 202799%
- Who will be the next CEO of FaZe Media, Inc?Thomas Oliveira$3K todayEnds Jan 1, 202724%
- United Airlines passengers flown in 2026Above 180 million$3K todayEnds Mar 31, 202899%
- One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech?Before 2027$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202715%
- When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?Before Dec 31, 2026$2K todayEnds Nov 1348%
- When will any company achieve AGI?Before Jan 1, 2030$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 203181%
- Which companies will be acquired this year?Ornn$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202719%
- Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?OpenAI$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202713%
- SpaceX Starship 15th launch?Before Dec 11, 2026$2K todayEnds Dec 1193%
- Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026Meta$2K todayEnds Dec 3190%
- Spotify total monthly active users in 2026Above 790 million$1K todayEnds Mar 31, 202895%
- When will Anthropic release Mythos?Before Jan 1, 2027$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202710%
- Tesla Optimus released this year?Before 2027$1K todayEnds Dec 318%
- Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26thXiaomi$1K todayEnds in 11 days63%
- What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?Clip-on device for clothing$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 20278%
- Spotify headcount in 2026Above 7100$1K todayEnds Mar 31, 202886%
- When will Anthropic release a personal AI agent?Before Jan 1, 2027$925 todayEnds Jan 1, 202748%
- What will Microsoft say during their next earnings call?Anthropic / Claude$855 todayEnds Jan 26, 202790%
- How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?4$772 todayEnds Jan 1, 202746%
- Robinhood event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026Above $50 billion$770 todayEnds May 12, 202797%
- When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?Before 2027$677 todayEnds Jan 1, 202728%
- AI capability growth this year?At least 1540 score$583 todayEnds Jan 1, 202752%
- What will Apple say during their next earnings call?Siri$541 todayEnds Nov 1296%
- Meta headcount in 2026Above 65000$518 todayEnds Mar 31, 202897%
- Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by Dec 31, 2026?Above $1.46$510 todayEnds Jan 1, 202710%
- Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Claude$487 todayEnds Jan 1, 202721%
- Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?Anthropic$464 todayEnds Dec 3177%
- How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?Above 0$457 todayEnds Jan 1, 202788%
- Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?Hires$451 todayEnds Jan 1, 20273%
- Top Chinese AI company this monthXiaomi$417 todayEnds in 8 days70%
- What will Google say during their next earnings call?Gemini (3+ times)$363 todayEnds Mar 31, 202798%
- Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in fiscal 2026Above $205$335 todayEnds Apr 27, 202798%
- Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?Before 2027$290 todayEnds Jan 1, 20278%