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PolymarketTotal Events:2,890
Observed times shown per event
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Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York?Before Nov 3, 2026$22 todayEnds in 11 days22%
Will Mamdani tax billionaires before 2027?Yes$21 todayEnds Jan 1, 20275%
South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)Republican party$21 todayEnds Nov 7, 202976%
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?Samuel Alito$21 todayEnds Jan 20, 202965%
Will China abolish hukou?Before 2030$20 todayEnds Jan 1, 203017%
Jacob Frey out as Mayor of Minneapolis?Before Jan 1, 2027$20 todayEnds Jan 1, 20277%
Iowa Senate election: Ashley Hinson vote percentAt least 44%$20 todayEnds Nov 3, 202796%
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?Before Jan 1, 2028$20 todayEnds Jan 1, 202773%
Northern Mariana Islands Governor winner?Blas βBJβ Attao$19 todayEnds Nov 3, 202751%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percentAt least 15%$19 todayEnds Nov 3, 202799%
Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate comboJon Rosenthal & James Talarico$18 todayEnds Nov 3, 202749%
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?Before 2029$17 todayEnds Jan 21, 202910%
Will Trump end income tax for people earning under $150k?Before 2027$16 todayEnds Jan 1, 20271%
Idaho Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 470K$16 todayEnds Nov 3, 202795%
New Hampshire Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 530K$15 todayEnds Nov 3, 202790%
Who will be Argentina's Peronist presidential nominee?Axel Kicillof$15 todayEnds Aug 7, 202859%
Will CMS release any deferred Medicaid funds to California or Minnesota?Before Jan 1, 2027$15 todayEnds Jan 1, 202747%
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?Before Jan 2027$14 todayEnds Jan 2, 202763%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Before Apr 1, 2028$14 todayEnds Apr 1, 202855%
Michigan Senate election: Mike Rogers vote percentAt least 42%$14 todayEnds Nov 3, 202793%
Arizona Governor margin of victoryBiggs, 1+ pts$13 todayEnds Nov 3, 20278%
Will Californiaβs billionaire tax take effect?Before Jan 1, 2027$13 todayEnds Jan 1, 202718%
When will Putin and Zelenskyy meet?Before Jan 1, 2029$12 todayEnds Jan 1, 202926%
Will Michigan vote to ban utility and contractor campaign contributions?Yes$12 todayEnds Nov 3, 202759%
Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?Mary Peltola$12 todayEnds in 11 days28%
Arkansas Governor election: Sarah Huckabee Sanders vote percentAt least 52%$12 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)Karen Bass, β₯4%$12 todayEnds Nov 3, 202742%
North Dakota Senate winner? (2028)Republican party$12 todayEnds Nov 7, 202986%
Nevada Governor: which counties will Aaron Ford win?Clark$11 todayEnds Nov 3, 202796%
West Virginia governor winner? (2028)Republican$11 todayEnds Nov 7, 202990%
Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?Yes$10 todayEnds Jan 1, 202728%
California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton win?Fresno$10 todayEnds Nov 3, 202770%
Will the US create a national AI regulator?Before Jan 1, 2028$10 todayEnds Jan 1, 202872%
New Hampshire Senate election: John Sununu vote percentAt least 38%$10 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?Before Jan 1, 2028$10 todayEnds Jan 1, 202862%
Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?Li Qiang$10 todayEnds Jan 1, 204550%
Will cannabis banking insurance protections become law in 2026?Yes$10 todayEnds Jan 1, 202716%
Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2028$10 todayEnds Jan 1, 202820%
New York Governor: which counties will Kathy Hochul win?Schenectady$10 todayEnds Nov 3, 202791%
When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?Before 2030$10 todayEnds Jan 1, 203025%
Milwaukee County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percentAt least 66%$10 todayEnds Nov 3, 202791%
Ohio Senate winner? (2028)Republican party$10 todayEnds Nov 7, 202952%
Will Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley debate?Before Nov 3, 2026$10 todayEnds in 10 days8%
TN-05 House election: Chaz Molder vote percentAt least 36%$9 todayEnds Nov 3, 202791%
Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?Before Jan 1, 2027$9 todayEnds Jan 1, 202710%
Will the CIT strike down Trump's Section 301 tariffs in 2026?Before 2027$9 todayEnds Jan 1, 202730%
Minnesota Senate election: Peggy Flanagan vote percentAt least 48%$9 todayEnds Nov 3, 202783%
Connecticut Governor election: Ryan Fazio vote percentAt least 30%$9 todayEnds Nov 3, 202795%
New Mexico Governor election: Gregg Hull vote percentAt least 36%$9 todayEnds Nov 3, 202796%
Wisconsin State Senate winner?Democratic party$8 todayEnds Nov 3, 202786%