Climate Events
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PolymarketTotal Events:4,744Observed times shown per event
Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:4,744
Observed times shown per event
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4,744 results ยท 301โ350Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lowest temperature in Wellington on October 22? ๐ Climate | 12ยฐC 54% | $238 | Awaiting result | View |
Highest temperature in Manila on October 22? ๐ Climate | 33ยฐC 99% | $229 | Awaiting result | View |
Before Dec 13, 2026 93% | $226 | Dec 26 | View | |
Rain in Denver in Oct 2026? ๐ Climate | Above 1 inch 16% | $213 | in 9 days | View |
Japan 35% | $204 | in 12 days | View | |
Lowest temperature in Madrid on October 22? ๐ Climate | 5ยฐC 99% | $186 | Awaiting result | View |
Before Dec 6, 2026 98% | $152 | Dec 19 | View | |
Highest sea level in San Diego this winter? ๐ Climate | 7.70 ft or more 83% | $139 | Apr 1, 2027 | View |
Rain in Providence in Oct 2026? ๐ Climate | Above 3 inches 9% | $124 | in 9 days | View |
Rain in College Station in Oct 2026? ๐ Climate | Above 4 inches 43% | $101 | in 9 days | View |
7.5+ 100% | $101 | in 9 days | View | |
Above 1033 Ft 65% | $100 | Jan 7, 2027 | View | |
Category 4 or higher landfall 2% | $94 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026? ๐ Climate | Above 10 inches 99% | $94 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Snow in Boston in Dec 2026? ๐ Climate | Above 4 inches 59% | $93 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Before Dec 13, 2026 95% | $86 | Dec 19 | View | |
Hawaii 8% | $79 | Dec 8 | Compare | |
Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026? ๐ Climate | Above 4 inches 82% | $74 | in 9 days | View |
86 to 95 km/h 51% | $70 | in 9 days | View | |
Before Nov 29, 2026 98% | $66 | Nov 29 | View | |
Above 18 99% | $66 | Dec 1 | View | |
Yes 14% | $60 | Dec 1 | View | |
Before 2027 2% | $60 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Hurricane Nolo category? ๐ Climate | Category 1 or above 99% | $59 | Dec 2 | View |
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026? ๐ Climate | 7.9 or below 73% | $59 | Jan 7, 2027 | View |
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? ๐ Climate | Yes 4% | $55 | Feb 1, 2027 | View |
Before Dec 6, 2026 99% | $55 | Dec 26 | View | |
Rain in Lexington in Oct 2026? ๐ Climate | Above 2 inches 18% | $54 | in 9 days | View |
At least 2.0ยฐC 86% | $50 | Apr 5, 2027 | Compare | |
Hurricane Trudy category? ๐ Climate | Category 1 or above 99% | $47 | Dec 2 | View |
Before Nov 8, 2026 98% | $44 | Nov 28 | View | |
Snow in New York City in Dec 2026? ๐ Climate | Above 2 inches 45% | $43 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Snow in Philadelphia in Dec 2026? ๐ Climate | Above 2 inches 34% | $37 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Before Dec 20, 2026 98% | $34 | Dec 20 | View | |
Below 30ยฐF 2% | $29 | in 9 days | View | |
Above 4 4% | $29 | Dec 2 | Compare | |
Major volcano eruption in 2026? ๐ Climate | At least 1 54% | $22 | Jun 29, 2027 | View |
Rain in Milwaukee in Oct 2026? ๐ Climate | Above 2 inches 58% | $21 | in 9 days | View |
India meets its 2030 climate goals? ๐ Climate | By 2030 63% | $15 | Dec 31, 2031 | View |
Below 40ยฐF 78% | $15 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Before Nov 29, 2026 83% | $15 | Dec 13 | View | |
When will the next Category 5 hurricane form? ๐ Climate | Before Dec 1, 2026 5% | $13 | Dec 1 | View |
Before Dec 27, 2026 95% | $10 | Jan 9, 2027 | View | |
Oil 59% | $10 | Dec 30, 2032 | View | |
Before Dec 13, 2026 99% | $4 | Dec 19 | View | |
Before 2035 27% | $1 | Dec 31, 2035 | View | |
March 31, 2027 50% | $0 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
EU meets its 2030 climate goals? ๐ Climate | By 2030 48% | โ | Dec 31, 2032 | View |
Hurricane Rene category? ๐ Climate | Category 3 or above 7% | โ | Dec 2 | View |
Yes 6% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Lowest temperature in Wellington on October 22?12ยฐC$238 todayEnds Awaiting result54%
Highest temperature in Manila on October 22?33ยฐC$229 todayEnds Awaiting result99%
When will Bald Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Dec 13, 2026$226 todayEnds Dec 2693%
Rain in Denver in Oct 2026?Above 1 inch$213 todayEnds in 9 days16%
Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?Japan$204 todayEnds in 12 days35%
Lowest temperature in Madrid on October 22?5ยฐC$186 todayEnds Awaiting result99%
When will Aspen Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Dec 6, 2026$152 todayEnds Dec 1998%
Highest sea level in San Diego this winter?7.70 ft or more$139 todayEnds Apr 1, 202783%
Rain in Providence in Oct 2026?Above 3 inches$124 todayEnds in 9 days9%
Rain in College Station in Oct 2026?Above 4 inches$101 todayEnds in 9 days43%
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?7.5+$101 todayEnds in 9 days100%
Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026?Above 1033 Ft$100 todayEnds Jan 7, 202765%
Florida Cat 4+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?Category 4 or higher landfall$94 todayEnds Jan 1, 20272%
Total snowfall in Big Sky in December 2026?Above 10 inches$94 todayEnds Jan 1, 202799%
Snow in Boston in Dec 2026?Above 4 inches$93 todayEnds Jan 1, 202759%
When will Big Bear Mountain Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Dec 13, 2026$86 todayEnds Dec 1995%
Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?Hawaii$79 todayEnds Dec 88%
Rain in Dallas in Oct 2026?Above 4 inches$74 todayEnds in 9 days82%
Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in October86 to 95 km/h$70 todayEnds in 9 days51%
When will Breckenridge Ski Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Nov 29, 2026$66 todayEnds Nov 2998%
How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year?Above 18$66 todayEnds Dec 199%
All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?Yes$60 todayEnds Dec 114%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?Before 2027$60 todayEnds Jan 1, 20272%
Hurricane Nolo category?Category 1 or above$59 todayEnds Dec 299%
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?7.9 or below$59 todayEnds Jan 7, 202773%
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes$55 todayEnds Feb 1, 20274%
When will Snowbird open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Dec 6, 2026$55 todayEnds Dec 2699%
Rain in Lexington in Oct 2026?Above 2 inches$54 todayEnds in 9 days18%
What will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?At least 2.0ยฐC$50 todayEnds Apr 5, 202786%
Hurricane Trudy category?Category 1 or above$47 todayEnds Dec 299%
When will Copper Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Nov 8, 2026$44 todayEnds Nov 2898%
Snow in New York City in Dec 2026?Above 2 inches$43 todayEnds Jan 1, 202745%
Snow in Philadelphia in Dec 2026?Above 2 inches$37 todayEnds Jan 1, 202734%
When will Park City Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Dec 20, 2026$34 todayEnds Dec 2098%
Will Madison fall below 30ยฐF before November 2026?Below 30ยฐF$29 todayEnds in 9 days2%
How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?Above 4$29 todayEnds Dec 24%
Major volcano eruption in 2026?At least 1$22 todayEnds Jun 29, 202754%
Rain in Milwaukee in Oct 2026?Above 2 inches$21 todayEnds in 9 days58%
India meets its 2030 climate goals?By 2030$15 todayEnds Dec 31, 203163%
Will the temperature in San Jose (SJC Airport) drop below 40ยฐF in December 2026?Below 40ยฐF$15 todayEnds Jan 1, 202778%
When will Stowe Mountain Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Nov 29, 2026$15 todayEnds Dec 1383%
When will the next Category 5 hurricane form?Before Dec 1, 2026$13 todayEnds Dec 15%
When will Mt. Bachelor open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Dec 27, 2026$10 todayEnds Jan 9, 202795%
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?Oil$10 todayEnds Dec 30, 203259%
When will Big Sky open for the 26/27 winter season?Before Dec 13, 2026$4 todayEnds Dec 1999%
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?Before 2035$1 todayEnds Dec 31, 203527%
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5ยฐC deadline change by...?March 31, 2027$0 todayEnds Jan 1, 202750%
EU meets its 2030 climate goals?By 2030Ends Dec 31, 203248%
Hurricane Rene category?Category 3 or aboveEnds Dec 27%
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?YesEnds Jan 1, 20276%