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KalshiPolymarketTotal Events:1,793
Observed times shown per event
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LA-05 House election: Dan McKay vote percent (1st Round)At least 2%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
When will the UK's social media ban take effect?Before Aug 1, 2027Ends Aug 1, 202771%- Launceston mayoral election winner?Matthew GarwoodEnds Oct 27, 202757%
- When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?Before 2030Ends Jan 1, 203025%
- US bans social media for children in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 20276%
- MS-02 House election: Ron Eller vote percentAt least 28%Ends Nov 3, 202794%
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?Nigel FarageEnds Jan 8, 203527%
- Will BRICS invite a new member to join them before 2027?Before 2027Ends Jan 8, 20278%
- FL-17 House election: Matthew Montavon vote percentAt least 32%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
- FL-20 House election: Brent Andersen vote percentAt least 20%Ends Nov 3, 202796%
- TX-06 House election: Jake Ellzey vote percentAt least 52%Ends Nov 3, 202787%
- When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?Before Jan 1, 2029Ends Jun 1, 202784%
- Arkansas Governor margin of victorySanders, 4+ ptsEnds Nov 3, 202794%
- NY-01 House election: Jordan Maggio vote percentAt least 1%Ends Nov 3, 20276%
- North Carolina Senate margin of victoryWhatley, 3+ ptsEnds Nov 3, 20274%
- LA-01 Democratic nominee?Lauren JewettEnds Nov 3, 20275%
- Who will win the next Dominican Republic Chamber of Deputies election?Modern Revolutionary PartyEnds May 19, 202971%
- TX-36 House election: Rhonda Hart vote percentAt least 32%Ends Nov 3, 202796%
- South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)Republican partyEnds Nov 7, 202983%
- Oregon Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 1.70MEnds Nov 3, 202784%
- Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?Steve DainesEnds Feb 1, 20273%
- Prague mayoral election winner?Petr HlavΓ‘ΔekEnds Oct 10, 202794%
- Will Trump establish nationwide concealed carry?Before Jan 4, 2027Ends Jan 4, 20274%
- Brendan Carr departure announced?YesEnds Jan 1, 202711%
- Mexican Chamber of Deputies election winner?MorenaEnds Jun 29, 202889%
- NC-08 House election: Mark Harris vote percentAt least 50%Ends Nov 3, 202795%
- New Supreme Court justice confirmed?Before Jan 21, 2029Ends Jan 1, 202757%
- NY-09 House election: Yvette Clarke vote percentAt least 68%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
- Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?Conor LambEnds Feb 16, 202876%
- Will Northern Ireland announce a reunification referendum?YesEnds Jan 1, 203016%
- 2028 Green Presidential nomineeButch WareEnds Nov 7, 202835%
- Will congestion pricing in NYC end before 2027?In 2027Ends Jan 1, 20272%
- TX-16 House election: Adam Bauman vote percentAt least 26%Ends Nov 3, 202793%
- Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percentAt least 15%Ends Nov 3, 202799%
- Massachusetts 07 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 100KEnds Nov 3, 202797%
- Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?Before 2027Ends Jan 1, 20271%
- FL-01 House election: Gay Valimont vote percentAt least 28%Ends Nov 3, 202796%
- Missouri Senate winner? (2028)Republican partyEnds Nov 7, 202991%
- Will the House impeach a federal judge this year?Before 2027Ends Jan 1, 20272%
- Will the Jones Act be repealed?Before Jan 4, 2027Ends Jan 4, 202711%
- AZ-06 House election: JoAnna Mendoza vote percentAt least 44%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
- How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?Above 40Ends in 11 days96%
- UT-03 House election: Cassie Easley vote percentAt least 1%Ends Nov 3, 202791%
- AL-05 House election: Dale Strong vote percentAt least 54%Ends Nov 3, 202796%
- Pennsylvania Governor election: Stacy Garrity vote percentAt least 30%Ends Nov 3, 202797%
- Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?During Trump's termEnds Jan 20, 20298%
- Colorado Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 2MEnds Nov 3, 202794%
- Will Trump visit the U.S. Capitol again?Before Jan 1, 2027Ends Feb 1, 202725%
- Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceKostadin KostadinovEnds Oct 25, 202790%
- SC-01 House election: Nancy Lacore vote percentAt least 40%Ends Nov 3, 202791%