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Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:2,883
Observed times shown per event
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| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
South Carolina Senate margin of victory ποΈ Politics | Andrews, 1+ pts 18% | $298 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Will the US acquire any new territory? ποΈ Politics | Before Jan 21, 2029 26% | $297 | Jan 21, 2029 | View |
New York Governor election: Bruce Blakeman vote percent ποΈ Politics | At least 34% 97% | $295 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
South Dakota Governor winner? ποΈ Politics | Larry Rhoden 98% | $294 | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Rhode Island Governor margin of victory ποΈ Politics | Foulkes, 4+ pts 91% | $289 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
MN-05 House election: Ilhan Omar vote percent ποΈ Politics | At least 72% 95% | $284 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? ποΈ Politics | Before Jan 1, 2029 78% | $280 | Jan 1, 2029 | View |
Lisa Cook Out as Fed Governor? ποΈ Politics | Before Jan 2029 30% | $276 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Who will run for Kentucky Governor in 2027? ποΈ Politics | James Comer 94% | $275 | Jan 9, 2027 | View |
Kentucky Senate winner? ποΈ Politics | Andy Barr 97% | $274 | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Oregon Senate General Election: voter turnout ποΈ Politics | Above 1.70M 87% | $274 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Will a cabinet member be impeached? ποΈ Politics | Before Jan 20, 2029 74% | $272 | Jan 20, 2029 | View |
Kansas Senate margin of victory ποΈ Politics | Hamilton, 1+ pts 37% | $269 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner? ποΈ Politics | Josh McLaurin 64% | $263 | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Who will win the governorship in Kentucky? ποΈ Politics | Republican 75% | $261 | Nov 1, 2028 | View |
Argentina presidential election: first round winner? ποΈ Politics | Javier Milei 63% | $261 | Oct 23, 2028 | View |
Wisconsin Senate winner? (2028) ποΈ Politics | Democratic party 65% | $260 | Nov 7, 2029 | View |
Milwaukee County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percent ποΈ Politics | At least 66% 91% | $260 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Nevada Governor General Election: voter turnout ποΈ Politics | Above 870K 94% | $260 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Governor? ποΈ Politics | Before Jan 31, 2028 69% | $260 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Connecticut Governor General Election: voter turnout ποΈ Politics | Above 1.00M 89% | $257 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent ποΈ Politics | At least 44% 99% | $254 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Virginia Senate General Election: voter turnout ποΈ Politics | Above 2.80M 83% | $250 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Before Nov 1, 2026 13% | $248 | in 8 days | View | |
Spanish general election: 2nd place ποΈ Politics | PSOE 81% | $246 | Nov 29, 2027 | Compare |
New York Governor margin of victory ποΈ Politics | Hochul, 4+ pts 90% | $244 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration ποΈ Politics | $40 trillion 100% | $243 | Mar 31, 2029 | View |
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term? ποΈ Politics | Cuba 5% | $241 | Jan 20, 2029 | View |
Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent ποΈ Politics | At least 46% 92% | $241 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Kansas Senate General Election: voter turnout ποΈ Politics | Above 850K 92% | $240 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Will Ohio vote to constitutionalize in-person voter ID? ποΈ Politics | Yes 93% | $239 | Nov 2, 2027 | View |
Minnesota Governor margin of victory ποΈ Politics | Klobuchar, 2+ pts 92% | $237 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii? ποΈ Politics | Before Nov 1, 2026 2% | $235 | in 8 days | View |
Will Republicans sweep the Great Plains Senate races? ποΈ Politics | Yes 40% | $232 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round) ποΈ Politics | At least 40% 94% | $229 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026? ποΈ Politics | Mississippi 98% | $226 | in 9 days | Compare |
Manchin Senate combo: Rogers & Collins ποΈ Politics | Both lose 60% | $224 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
How long will the next FISA authorization be? ποΈ Politics | At least 90 days 57% | $222 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Victorian state election winner? ποΈ Politics | Liberals and Nationals 75% | $221 | Nov 28, 2027 | View |
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Together win? ποΈ Politics | Above 5 91% | $221 | Oct 27, 2027 | View |
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? ποΈ Politics | Denver 40% | $214 | Aug 7, 2028 | View |
At least 2000 97% | $211 | Jan 1, 2029 | View | |
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve? ποΈ Politics | Before Jan 20, 2029 6% | $210 | Jan 20, 2029 | View |
EspΓrito Santo Governor winner? ποΈ Politics | Lorenzo Pazolini 91% | $207 | Oct 25, 2027 | View |
Minnesota Senate General Election: voter turnout ποΈ Politics | Above 2.20M 95% | $207 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Rhode Island Senate margin of victory ποΈ Politics | Reed, 17+ pts 90% | $206 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
Yes 6% | $206 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? ποΈ Politics | At least 10 96% | $206 | Jan 3, 2027 | View |
Who will win the next Mongolian presidential election? ποΈ Politics | Gombojavyn Zandanshatar 19% | $204 | Jun 29, 2028 | View |
UT-02 House election: Carlton Bowen vote percent ποΈ Politics | At least 1% 82% | $201 | Nov 3, 2027 | View |
South Carolina Senate margin of victoryAndrews, 1+ pts$298 todayEnds Nov 3, 202718%
Will the US acquire any new territory?Before Jan 21, 2029$297 todayEnds Jan 21, 202926%
New York Governor election: Bruce Blakeman vote percentAt least 34%$295 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
South Dakota Governor winner?Larry Rhoden$294 todayEnds Nov 3, 202798%
Rhode Island Governor margin of victoryFoulkes, 4+ pts$289 todayEnds Nov 3, 202791%
MN-05 House election: Ilhan Omar vote percentAt least 72%$284 todayEnds Nov 3, 202795%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor?Before Jan 1, 2029$280 todayEnds Jan 1, 202978%
Lisa Cook Out as Fed Governor?Before Jan 2029$276 todayEnds Jan 1, 202730%
Who will run for Kentucky Governor in 2027?James Comer$275 todayEnds Jan 9, 202794%
Kentucky Senate winner?Andy Barr$274 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
Oregon Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 1.70M$274 todayEnds Nov 3, 202787%
Will a cabinet member be impeached?Before Jan 20, 2029$272 todayEnds Jan 20, 202974%
Kansas Senate margin of victoryHamilton, 1+ pts$269 todayEnds Nov 3, 202737%
Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner?Josh McLaurin$263 todayEnds Nov 3, 202764%
Who will win the governorship in Kentucky?Republican$261 todayEnds Nov 1, 202875%
Argentina presidential election: first round winner?Javier Milei$261 todayEnds Oct 23, 202863%
Wisconsin Senate winner? (2028)Democratic party$260 todayEnds Nov 7, 202965%
Milwaukee County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percentAt least 66%$260 todayEnds Nov 3, 202791%
Nevada Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 870K$260 todayEnds Nov 3, 202794%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Governor?Before Jan 31, 2028$260 todayEnds Jan 1, 202769%
Connecticut Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 1.00M$257 todayEnds Nov 3, 202789%
Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percentAt least 44%$254 todayEnds Nov 3, 202799%
Virginia Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 2.80M$250 todayEnds Nov 3, 202783%
Laurent NuΓ±ez announces departure as Interior Minister of France?Before Nov 1, 2026$248 todayEnds in 8 days13%
Spanish general election: 2nd placePSOE$246 todayEnds Nov 29, 202781%
New York Governor margin of victoryHochul, 4+ pts$244 todayEnds Nov 3, 202790%
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration$40 trillion$243 todayEnds Mar 31, 2029100%
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?Cuba$241 todayEnds Jan 20, 20295%
Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percentAt least 46%$241 todayEnds Nov 3, 202792%
Kansas Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 850K$240 todayEnds Nov 3, 202792%
Will Ohio vote to constitutionalize in-person voter ID?Yes$239 todayEnds Nov 2, 202793%
Minnesota Governor margin of victoryKlobuchar, 2+ pts$237 todayEnds Nov 3, 202792%
Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii?Before Nov 1, 2026$235 todayEnds in 8 days2%
Will Republicans sweep the Great Plains Senate races?Yes$232 todayEnds Nov 3, 202740%
Maine Senate election: Susan Collins vote percent (1st Round)At least 40%$229 todayEnds Nov 3, 202794%
Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?Mississippi$226 todayEnds in 9 days98%
Manchin Senate combo: Rogers & CollinsBoth lose$224 todayEnds Nov 3, 202760%
How long will the next FISA authorization be?At least 90 days$222 todayEnds Jan 1, 202757%
Victorian state election winner?Liberals and Nationals$221 todayEnds Nov 28, 202775%
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Together win?Above 5$221 todayEnds Oct 27, 202791%
Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention?Denver$214 todayEnds Aug 7, 202840%
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?At least 2000$211 todayEnds Jan 1, 202997%
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?Before Jan 20, 2029$210 todayEnds Jan 20, 20296%
EspΓrito Santo Governor winner?Lorenzo Pazolini$207 todayEnds Oct 25, 202791%
Minnesota Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 2.20M$207 todayEnds Nov 3, 202795%
Rhode Island Senate margin of victoryReed, 17+ pts$206 todayEnds Nov 3, 202790%
Brooklyn Beckham: Seen in public with David or Victoria Beckham in 2026?Yes$206 todayEnds Jan 1, 20276%
How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?At least 10$206 todayEnds Jan 3, 202796%
Who will win the next Mongolian presidential election?Gombojavyn Zandanshatar$204 todayEnds Jun 29, 202819%
UT-02 House election: Carlton Bowen vote percentAt least 1%$201 todayEnds Nov 3, 202782%