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PolymarketTotal Events:1,800
Observed times shown per event
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Who will win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?Iliana Yotova$160 todayEnds Nov 15, 202789%
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?At least 1$158 todayEnds Feb 1, 202735%
Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?Mask ban$158 todayEnds Jan 1, 202711%
Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percentAt least 32%$157 todayEnds Nov 3, 202795%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?Before Jan 1, 2028$157 todayEnds Jul 1, 202759%
Nevada State Senate winner?Democratic party$155 todayEnds Nov 3, 202794%
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before 2027?Before Jan 1, 2027$152 todayEnds Jan 1, 20274%
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Mark Warner$151 todayEnds Jan 1, 20279%
California 42 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 126K$150 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?Hakeem Jeffries$150 todayEnds Jan 3, 202888%
How many Attorneys General will Trump have?2$148 todayEnds Jan 20, 202955%
Who will become Prime Minister of Italy following the next general election?Giorgia Meloni$148 todayEnds Dec 22, 202836%
Who will win the governorship in Kentucky?Republican$147 todayEnds Nov 1, 202875%
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?Before Jan 1, 2028$143 todayEnds Jan 1, 202847%
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?Before 2029$143 todayEnds Jan 1, 202741%
Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?Before Jul 1, 2027$140 todayEnds Jan 1, 202730%
Tennessee Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 1.60M$139 todayEnds Nov 3, 202787%
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)At least 1$138 todayEnds in 11 days98%
Lexington mayoral election winner?Linda Gorton$136 todayEnds Nov 3, 202782%
Guam Governor winner?Tony Ada$136 todayEnds Nov 3, 202768%
LA-05 Republican nominee?Michael Echols$135 todayEnds Nov 3, 202710%
Number of Republican governors after the midterms?At least 21$135 todayEnds Feb 1, 202783%
Which G7 leader will leave office next?Emmanuel Macron$135 todayEnds Jan 1, 204572%
Arizona Governor: which counties will Katie Hobbs win?Maricopa$134 todayEnds Nov 3, 202783%
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?Before 2030$133 todayEnds Jan 1, 203038%
Tennessee Governor margin of victoryBlackburn, 3+ pts$133 todayEnds Nov 3, 202794%
Will Trump endorse FlΓ‘vio Bolsonaro?Yes$132 todayEnds in 3 days17%
Arizona Governor election: Katie Hobbs vote percentAt least 46%$130 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
NYC population change in Mamdani's first 18 months?Increase 0.01-0.99%$129 todayEnds Jun 1, 202844%
Nevada Governor margin of victoryFord, 1+ pts$121 todayEnds Nov 3, 202756%
When will Trump, Zelenskyy and Putin meet together?Before Jan 20, 2029$119 todayEnds Jan 20, 202942%
California State Senate District 26 election winnerSara Hernandez$118 todayEnds Nov 3, 202780%
Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?Yes$118 todayEnds Nov 3, 202743%
Mississauga mayoral election winner?Bonnie Crombie$116 todayEnds Oct 26, 202747%
Iowa Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 1.10M$116 todayEnds Nov 3, 202793%
Will SCOTUS require 12-person juries for serious felonies?Before Aug 1, 2028$114 todayEnds Aug 1, 202873%
New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$113 todayEnds Nov 7, 202943%
Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?J.D. Vance$113 todayEnds Mar 1, 202847%
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?Christopher Luxon$112 todayEnds Nov 7, 202760%
Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?Ulrich Siegmund$111 todayEnds Oct 6, 202778%
Tainan mayoral election winner?Chen Ting-fei$109 todayEnds Nov 28, 202799%
Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?India$109 todayEnds Jan 1, 202713%
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Yashar win?Above 17$109 todayEnds Oct 27, 202791%
Ohio Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 3.5M$108 todayEnds Nov 3, 202795%
Wisconsin Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 2.2M$108 todayEnds Nov 3, 202782%
Florida Senate margin of victoryNixon, 2+ pts$107 todayEnds Nov 3, 20278%
How many Truths will Trump delete in Oct 2026?At least 5$105 todayEnds in 9 days45%
Bexar County, Texas: James Talarico vote percentAt least 56%$104 todayEnds Nov 3, 202794%
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?During Trump's term$104 todayEnds Jan 20, 202922%
Who will run for president in 2028?Andrew Yang$103 todayEnds Nov 7, 202878%