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PolymarketTotal Events:2,884Observed times shown per event
Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:2,884
Observed times shown per event
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Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes before 2027?Before 2029$143 todayEnds Jan 1, 202741%
Which G7 leader will leave office next?Emmanuel Macron$141 todayEnds Jan 1, 204572%
Tennessee Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 1.60M$139 todayEnds Nov 3, 202787%
Missouri State Senate District 8 winner?Jon Patterson$137 todayEnds Nov 3, 202772%
Lexington mayoral election winner?Linda Gorton$136 todayEnds Nov 3, 202782%
Guam Governor winner?Tony Ada$136 todayEnds Nov 3, 202768%
Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader?Before Jan 1, 2027$135 todayEnds Jan 1, 202755%
New York 17 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 220K$133 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
Will Trump endorse FlΓ‘vio Bolsonaro?Yes$132 todayEnds in 3 days16%
Idaho Senate margin of victoryRisch, 3+ pts$132 todayEnds Nov 3, 202791%
Louisiana Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 1.15M$130 todayEnds Nov 3, 202783%
Will Trump publicly call for a global AI slowdown?Before Jan 1, 2027$130 todayEnds Jan 1, 202710%
Which Senate races will be within 1 point?Texas$124 todayEnds Nov 3, 202719%
Will the Cybersecurity Information Sharing Act of 2015 be extended?Yes$122 todayEnds Dec 1283%
Who will run for president in 2028?Andrew Yang$121 todayEnds Nov 7, 202878%
New Hampshire Governor election: Kelly Ayotte vote percentAt least 46%$120 todayEnds Nov 3, 202794%
Arizona Governor election: Katie Hobbs vote percentAt least 46%$119 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
California State Senate District 26 election winnerSara Hernandez$118 todayEnds Nov 3, 202780%
Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?The Netherlands$117 todayEnds Jan 1, 202710%
Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election?J.D. Vance$116 todayEnds Mar 1, 202847%
Wyoming Senate winner?Harriet Hageman$116 todayEnds Nov 3, 2027100%
When will Serbia call its presidential election?Before Dec 1, 2026$115 todayEnds in 8 days90%
South Carolina Senate election: Annie Andrews vote percentAt least 38%$115 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
MN-05 House election: Ilhan Omar vote percentAt least 70%$114 todayEnds Nov 3, 202794%
Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?Mississippi$114 todayEnds in 9 days98%
Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed?Before 2030$111 todayEnds Jan 1, 203027%
New Zealand Prime Minister after the election?Christopher Luxon$110 todayEnds Nov 7, 202760%
Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?India$109 todayEnds Jan 1, 202713%
New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$108 todayEnds Nov 7, 202943%
Florida Senate margin of victoryNixon, 2+ pts$107 todayEnds Nov 3, 20278%
Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?Before 2029$106 todayEnds Jan 20, 202918%
Colorado Senate margin of victoryHickenlooper, 8+ pts$105 todayEnds Nov 3, 202794%
Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?Minnesota US Senate$105 todayEnds Nov 1065%
Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?Bitcoin$104 todayEnds Jan 21, 202916%
Who will win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?Iliana Yotova$101 todayEnds Nov 15, 202789%
Pennsylvania Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 4.00M$101 todayEnds Nov 3, 202790%
Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?Inheritance Tax Rise$101 todayEnds Dec 129%
New Hampshire Governor margin of victoryAyotte, 2+ pts$101 todayEnds Nov 3, 202790%
How many bills with Trump veto in 2026?At least 1$100 todayEnds Jan 1, 202730%
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?During Trump's term$100 todayEnds Jan 20, 202937%
How many people will Trump pardon in Oct 2026?3 to 9$100 todayEnds in 9 days37%
German presidential election winner?Ilse Aigner$100 todayEnds Jan 30, 202854%
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Yashar win?Above 17$100 todayEnds Oct 27, 202792%
Alabama Senate General Election: voter turnoutAbove 1.34M$100 todayEnds Nov 3, 202787%
Hobart Lord Mayor election winner?John Kelly$100 todayEnds Oct 27, 202735%
Massachusetts 02 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 120K$99 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
Jessica Tisch out as NYPD commissioner before 2027?Before Jan 1, 2028$99 todayEnds Jan 1, 202738%
Rhode Island Senate winner?Jack Reed$99 todayEnds Nov 3, 202799%
Ohio Governor General Election: voter turnoutAbove 3.5M$98 todayEnds Nov 3, 202796%
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?Before Jan 20, 2029$98 todayEnds Jan 20, 202939%