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PolymarketTotal Events:489Observed times shown per event
KalshiPolymarketTotal Events:489
Observed times shown per event
All categories🏛️ Politics📈 Economics⚽ Sports₿ Crypto📊 AI / Tech🌍 World🎭 Culture📊 Climate🔬 Science📊 Other
489 results · 451–489Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anthropic lab leak by...? 📊 Ai_tech | June 30, 2027 7% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Yes 3% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 1% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
United Airlines 12% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
October 31 9% | — | in 9 days | View | |
Yes 13% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
OpenAI 41% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 9% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
OpenAI 69% | — | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Yes 58% | — | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare | |
February 28 73% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Before 2035 54% | — | Jan 1, 2035 | View | |
Yes 27% | — | Jan 1, 2028 | View | |
Yes 20% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Reliance Industries Ltd 88% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Fully Electric M3 94% | — | Jan 1, 2028 | View | |
Troy Rohrbaugh 51% | — | Jan 1, 2030 | View | |
December 31, 2026 20% | — | in 9 days | View | |
Yes 12% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Before 2028 52% | — | Jan 1, 2028 | View | |
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo? 📊 Ai_tech | Yes 6% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Gemini Spark on the free plan by...? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31 43% | — | in 9 days | View |
1510+ 82% | — | Jul 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 5% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Above $3.23 90% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
$6B 71% | — | in 11 days | View | |
December 31, 2026 20% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 14% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 8% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 48% | — | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare | |
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026? 📊 Ai_tech | Yes 90% | — | Jul 1, 2027 | View |
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back? 📊 Ai_tech | Yes 10% | — | Jul 1, 2027 | View |
 Uber trips in fiscal 2026 📊 Ai_tech | Above 15.4 billion 99% | — | May 12, 2027 | View |
$31B 79% | — | in 11 days | View | |
Before 2027 6% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Before Jan 1, 2029 66% | — | Dec 31, 2028 | Compare | |
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit? 📊 Ai_tech | New York Times wins 56% | — | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? 📊 Ai_tech | Yes 84% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
How many SpaceX launches in 2026? 📊 Ai_tech | 140-159 68% | — | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
- Anthropic lab leak by...?June 30, 2027Ends Jan 1, 20277%
- Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?YesEnds Jan 1, 20273%
- Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 20271%
- Will United Airlines shift its headquarters to Denver CO before 2027?United AirlinesEnds Jan 1, 202712%
- Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?October 31Ends in 9 days9%
- Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 202713%
- Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?OpenAIEnds Jan 1, 202741%
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?YesEnds Jan 1, 20279%
- Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?OpenAIEnds Dec 169%
- OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?YesEnds Jan 1, 202858%
- Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by...?February 28Ends Jan 1, 202773%
- Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?Before 2035Ends Jan 1, 203554%
- Will Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO?YesEnds Jan 1, 202827%
- Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?YesEnds Jan 1, 202720%
- Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?Reliance Industries LtdEnds Jan 1, 202788%
- Will BMW release a Fully Electric M3 before 2028?Fully Electric M3Ends Jan 1, 202894%
- Who will replace Jamie Dimon as JPMorgan CEO?Troy RohrbaughEnds Jan 1, 203051%
- OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?December 31, 2026Ends in 9 days20%
- Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?YesEnds Jan 1, 202712%
- Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?Before 2028Ends Jan 1, 202852%
- Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?YesEnds Jan 1, 20276%
- Gemini Spark on the free plan by...?December 31Ends in 9 days43%
- Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?1510+Ends Jul 1, 202782%
- Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?YesEnds Jan 1, 20275%
- Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by Dec 31, 2026?Above $3.23Ends Jan 1, 202790%
- Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPad revenue be above __?$6BEnds in 11 days71%
- Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...?December 31, 2026Ends Jan 1, 202720%
- Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 202714%
- US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 20278%
- OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?YesEnds Jan 1, 202848%
- Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?YesEnds Jul 1, 202790%
- Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back?YesEnds Jul 1, 202710%
- Uber trips in fiscal 2026Above 15.4 billionEnds May 12, 202799%
- Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Services revenue be above __?$31BEnds in 11 days79%
- Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?Before 2027Ends Jan 1, 20276%
- Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?Before Jan 1, 2029Ends Dec 31, 202866%
- New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?New York Times winsEnds Jan 1, 202856%
- OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 202784%
- How many SpaceX launches in 2026?140-159Ends Jan 1, 202768%