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PolymarketTotal Events:489
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489 results ยท 401โ450Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Yes 14% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026 ๐ Ai_tech | Above 10.6 billion 95% | โ | May 6, 2027 | View |
Before Jul 1, 2027 83% | โ | Jul 1, 2027 | View | |
Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027? ๐ Ai_tech | Goldman Sachs 8% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
$44B 99% | โ | in 5 days | View | |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? ๐ Ai_tech | Yes 5% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
$64B 97% | โ | in 5 days | View | |
Above 8% 99% | โ | Apr 28, 2027 | View | |
Starbucks comparable transactions growth in 2026 ๐ Ai_tech | Above 2% 93% | โ | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? ๐ Ai_tech | Yes 2% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Chipotle headcount in fiscal 2026 ๐ Ai_tech | Above 102 thousand 97% | โ | May 11, 2027 | View |
Before Mar 1, 2027 86% | โ | Mar 1, 2027 | View | |
December 31, 2028 30% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
CAVA total restaurants in fiscal 2026 ๐ Ai_tech | Above 500 99% | โ | May 26, 2027 | View |
Grab monthly transacting users in 2026 ๐ Ai_tech | Above 55 million 89% | โ | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Will Rippling win its lawsuit against Deel? ๐ Ai_tech | Before 2028 58% | โ | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
At least $500 75% | โ | Jan 1, 2030 | View | |
Above 9% 96% | โ | May 26, 2027 | View | |
New MAI thinking model released by...? ๐ Ai_tech | December 31 68% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Critical Discord Incident by...? ๐ Ai_tech | November 30 27% | โ | in 9 days | View |
OpenAI 85% | โ | Dec 31 | Compare | |
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026? ๐ Ai_tech | Above $5.79 99% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Google 68% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
73% to 75% 80% | โ | Nov 18 | View | |
Astra removed from public access by...? ๐ Ai_tech | October 31 2% | โ | in 9 days | View |
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...? ๐ Ai_tech | October 31, 2026 3% | โ | in 9 days | View |
AI data center in space by...? ๐ Ai_tech | December 31, 2027 24% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Grok Bot on the free plan by...? ๐ Ai_tech | December 31 8% | โ | in 9 days | View |
$11.2B 77% | โ | in 5 days | View | |
Lyft total rides in fiscal 2026 ๐ Ai_tech | Above 1.01 billion 86% | โ | May 12, 2027 | View |
a new reference in titanium 1% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030? ๐ Ai_tech | Before 2030 17% | โ | Jan 1, 2030 | View |
Which exchange will Anthropic list on? ๐ Ai_tech | NASDAQ 90% | โ | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Courts consider Apple a monopoly? ๐ Ai_tech | Before 2030 28% | โ | Jan 1, 2030 | View |
a steel Nautilus reference 2% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Starbucks headcount in fiscal 2026 ๐ Ai_tech | Above 350 thousand 25% | โ | Feb 10, 2027 | View |
Which flavors will JUUL relaunch in 2026? ๐ Ai_tech | Mint 52% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter 60% | โ | Apr 1, 2027 | View | |
Before 2027 67% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? ๐ Ai_tech | Yes 73% | โ | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Tesla Roadster delivered by...? ๐ Ai_tech | December 31, 2027 10% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
$450 92% | โ | in 7 days | View | |
Yes 79% | โ | Jan 1, 2028 | View | |
X re-launches Vine this year? ๐ Ai_tech | Before 2027 8% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
a steel GMT-Master II with a black and red Bezel 3% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? ๐ Ai_tech | Yes 10% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Tesla headcount in 2026 ๐ Ai_tech | Above 120000 92% | โ | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above __? ๐ Ai_tech | $54B 87% | โ | in 11 days | View |
Another Codex outage in 2026? ๐ Ai_tech | Yes 97% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Above $1.39 29% | โ | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?YesEnds Jan 1, 202714%
Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026Above 10.6 billionEnds May 6, 202795%
When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index? Before Jul 1, 2027Ends Jul 1, 202783%
Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?Goldman SachsEnds Jan 1, 20278%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above __?$44BEnds in 5 days99%
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 20275%
Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above __?$64BEnds in 5 days97%
Meta advertisement impressions growth in fiscal 2026Above 8%Ends Apr 28, 202799%
Starbucks comparable transactions growth in 2026Above 2%Ends Mar 31, 202893%
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 20272%
Chipotle headcount in fiscal 2026Above 102 thousandEnds May 11, 202797%
When will the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame expansion be completed?Before Mar 1, 2027Ends Mar 1, 202786%
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?December 31, 2028Ends Jan 1, 202730%
CAVA total restaurants in fiscal 2026Above 500Ends May 26, 202799%
Grab monthly transacting users in 2026Above 55 millionEnds Mar 31, 202889%
Will Rippling win its lawsuit against Deel?Before 2028Ends Jan 1, 202858%
How much will a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket cost?At least $500Ends Jan 1, 203075%
Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026Above 9%Ends May 26, 202796%
New MAI thinking model released by...?December 31Ends Jan 1, 202768%
Critical Discord Incident by...?November 30Ends in 9 days27%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?OpenAIEnds Dec 3185%
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?Above $5.79Ends Jan 1, 202799%
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?GoogleEnds Jan 1, 202768%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP)?73% to 75%Ends Nov 1880%
Astra removed from public access by...?October 31Ends in 9 days2%
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?October 31, 2026Ends in 9 days3%
AI data center in space by...?December 31, 2027Ends Jan 1, 202724%
Grok Bot on the free plan by...?December 31Ends in 9 days8%
Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 YouTube ads revenue be above __?$11.2BEnds in 5 days77%
Lyft total rides in fiscal 2026Above 1.01 billionEnds May 12, 202786%
Will Rolex release a new reference in titanium this year?a new reference in titaniumEnds Jan 1, 20271%
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?Before 2030Ends Jan 1, 203017%
Which exchange will Anthropic list on?NASDAQEnds Jan 1, 202890%
Courts consider Apple a monopoly?Before 2030Ends Jan 1, 203028%
Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year?a steel Nautilus referenceEnds Jan 1, 20272%
Starbucks headcount in fiscal 2026Above 350 thousandEnds Feb 10, 202725%
Which flavors will JUUL relaunch in 2026?MintEnds Jan 1, 202752%
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarterEnds Apr 1, 202760%
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?Before 2027Ends Jan 1, 202767%
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?YesEnds Jan 1, 202873%
Tesla Roadster delivered by...?December 31, 2027Ends Jan 1, 202710%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of October?$450Ends in 7 days92%
Will NextEra Energy successfully take over Dominion Energy?YesEnds Jan 1, 202879%
X re-launches Vine this year?Before 2027Ends Jan 1, 20278%
Will Rolex release a steel GMT-Master II with a black and red Bezel this year?a steel GMT-Master II with a black and red BezelEnds Jan 1, 20273%
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?YesEnds Jan 1, 202710%
Tesla headcount in 2026Above 120000Ends Mar 31, 202892%
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above __?$54BEnds in 11 days87%
Another Codex outage in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 202797%
Price of NVIDIA A100 SXM4 compute by Dec 31, 2026?Above $1.39Ends Jan 1, 202729%