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PolymarketTotal Events:2,315
Observed times shown per event
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2,315 results Β· 1β50Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms ποΈ Politics | Democrats Sweep 69% | $2.3M | in 12 days | Compare |
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? ποΈ Politics | October 22 99% | $1.9M | in 7h | View |
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 ποΈ Politics | J.D. Vance 44% | $1.8M | Nov 7, 2028 | Compare |
Gadi Eizenkot 48% | $1.0M | in 5 days | Compare | |
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026? ποΈ Politics | 280-299 56% | $898K | in 19h | View |
Next French Presidential Election ποΈ Politics | Marine Le Pen 46% | $822K | Apr 19, 2027 | Compare |
Which party will win the House in 2026? ποΈ Politics | Democratic Party 93% | $756K | in 12 days | View |
Texas Senate Election Winner ποΈ Politics | James Talarico (D) 68% | $535K | in 12 days | Compare |
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 ποΈ Politics | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% | $436K | Nov 8, 2028 | Compare |
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory ποΈ Politics | FlΓ‘vio Bolsonaro <4% 42% | $431K | in 3 days | View |
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Aleksandar VuΔiΔ β United Serbia 72% | $339K | in 3 days | View |
Next Prime Minister of Serbia? ποΈ Politics | Aleksandar VuΔiΔ 74% | $246K | in 3 days | View |
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory ποΈ Politics | Iotova 10-20% 65% | $242K | in 3 days | View |
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? ποΈ Politics | Democratic Party 69% | $235K | in 12 days | Compare |
Taipei Mayor Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Chiang Wan-an 63% | $215K | Nov 29 | View |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? ποΈ Politics | March 31 55% | $203K | in 9 days | View |
Idaho Senate Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Jim Risch (R) 97% | $201K | in 12 days | Compare |
Ohio Governor Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Amy Acton (D) 82% | $190K | in 12 days | Compare |
Israeli Legislative Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Yashar 71% | $173K | in 5 days | Compare |
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31, 2028 30% | $167K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Presidential Election Winner 2028 ποΈ Politics | JD Vance 20% | $160K | Nov 7, 2028 | Compare |
Trump out as President before 2027? ποΈ Politics | Yes 4% | $149K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Kansas Senate Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Roger Marshall (R) 63% | $139K | in 12 days | Compare |
Michigan Senate Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 71% | $128K | in 12 days | Compare |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ποΈ Politics | Yes 17% | $127K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026? ποΈ Politics | 280-299 18% | $126K | in 5 days | View |
Ohio Senate Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Sherrod Brown (D) 70% | $108K | in 12 days | View |
Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026? ποΈ Politics | June 30, 2027 10% | $106K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ποΈ Politics | Yes 6% | $104K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027 ποΈ Politics | Volodymyr Zelenskyy 9% | $98K | Apr 1, 2028 | View |
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in AmapΓ‘ ποΈ Politics | Flavio Bolsonaro 71% | $93K | in 3 days | Compare |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? ποΈ Politics | Yes 2% | $91K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Bulgaria Presidential Election ποΈ Politics | Iliana Iotova 88% | $86K | in 3 days | View |
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? ποΈ Politics | Yes 74% | $86K | in 12 days | View |
Next Press Secretary announced by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31 59% | $83K | in 9 days | Compare |
Nebraska Senate Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Pete Ricketts (R) 73% | $82K | in 12 days | Compare |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31, 2027 72% | $82K | in 9 days | View |
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31 76% | $76K | in 9 days | View |
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31? ποΈ Politics | Jared Kushner 35% | $74K | Dec 31 | View |
Iran leader end of 2026? ποΈ Politics | Mojtaba Khamenei 86% | $67K | Dec 31 | View |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? ποΈ Politics | December 31 4% | $63K | in 9 days | View |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31 17% | $63K | in 9 days | Compare |
France declares state of emergency by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31 19% | $63K | in 9 days | Compare |
Mississippi Senate Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 89% | $60K | in 12 days | Compare |
No Hormuz Agreement 88% | $57K | in 12 days | View | |
Next leader out of power before 2027? ποΈ Politics | None before 2027 47% | $57K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
VA-05 House Election Winner ποΈ Politics | John McGuire (R) 63% | $56K | in 12 days | View |
Texas Governor Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Greg Abbott (R) 65% | $56K | in 12 days | Compare |
Oil β₯ $80; D Senate 65% | $55K | in 12 days | View | |
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Olivia Chow 53% | $54K | in 4 days | Compare |

Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsDemocrats Sweep$2.3M todayEnds in 12 days69%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 22$1.9M todayEnds in 7h99%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance$1.8M todayEnds Nov 7, 202844%
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot$1.0M todayEnds in 5 days48%
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?280-299$898K todayEnds in 19h56%
Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen$822K todayEnds Apr 19, 202746%
Which party will win the House in 2026?Democratic Party$756K todayEnds in 12 days93%
Texas Senate Election WinnerJames Talarico (D)$535K todayEnds in 12 days68%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$436K todayEnds Nov 8, 202817%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of VictoryFlΓ‘vio Bolsonaro <4%$431K todayEnds in 3 days42%
Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar VuΔiΔ β United Serbia$339K todayEnds in 3 days72%
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?Aleksandar VuΔiΔ$246K todayEnds in 3 days74%
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryIotova 10-20%$242K todayEnds in 3 days65%
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?Democratic Party$235K todayEnds in 12 days69%
Taipei Mayor Election WinnerChiang Wan-an$215K todayEnds Nov 2963%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 31$203K todayEnds in 9 days55%
Idaho Senate Election WinnerJim Risch (R)$201K todayEnds in 12 days97%
Ohio Governor Election WinnerAmy Acton (D)$190K todayEnds in 12 days82%
Israeli Legislative Election WinnerYashar$173K todayEnds in 5 days71%
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?December 31, 2028$167K todayEnds Jan 1, 202730%
Presidential Election Winner 2028JD Vance$160K todayEnds Nov 7, 202820%
Trump out as President before 2027?Yes$149K todayEnds Jan 1, 20274%
Kansas Senate Election WinnerRoger Marshall (R)$139K todayEnds in 12 days63%
Michigan Senate Election WinnerAbdul El-Sayed (D)$128K todayEnds in 12 days71%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes$127K todayEnds Jan 1, 202717%
Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?280-299$126K todayEnds in 5 days18%
Ohio Senate Election WinnerSherrod Brown (D)$108K todayEnds in 12 days70%
Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?June 30, 2027$106K todayEnds Jan 1, 202710%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes$104K todayEnds Jan 1, 20276%
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027Volodymyr Zelenskyy$98K todayEnds Apr 1, 20289%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in AmapΓ‘Flavio Bolsonaro$93K todayEnds in 3 days71%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes$91K todayEnds Jan 1, 20272%
Bulgaria Presidential ElectionIliana Iotova$86K todayEnds in 3 days88%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes$86K todayEnds in 12 days74%
Next Press Secretary announced by...?December 31$83K todayEnds in 9 days59%
Nebraska Senate Election Winner Pete Ricketts (R)$82K todayEnds in 12 days73%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?December 31, 2027$82K todayEnds in 9 days72%
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?December 31$76K todayEnds in 9 days76%
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Jared Kushner$74K todayEnds Dec 3135%
Iran leader end of 2026?Mojtaba Khamenei$67K todayEnds Dec 3186%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?December 31$63K todayEnds in 9 days4%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?December 31$63K todayEnds in 9 days17%
France declares state of emergency by...?December 31$63K todayEnds in 9 days19%
Mississippi Senate Election WinnerCindy Hyde-Smith (R)$60K todayEnds in 12 days89%
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?No Hormuz Agreement$57K todayEnds in 12 days88%
Next leader out of power before 2027?None before 2027$57K todayEnds Jan 1, 202747%
VA-05 House Election WinnerJohn McGuire (R)$56K todayEnds in 12 days63%
Texas Governor Election WinnerGreg Abbott (R)$56K todayEnds in 12 days65%
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?Oil β₯ $80; D Senate$55K todayEnds in 12 days65%
Toronto Mayoral Election WinnerOlivia Chow$54K todayEnds in 4 days53%