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KalshiPolymarketTotal Events:3,034
Observed times shown per event
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3,034 results Β· 1β50Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? ποΈ Politics | October 22 98% | $1.3M | Ending now | View |
Gadi Eizenkot 49% | $1.1M | in 5 days | Compare | |
 Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms ποΈ Politics | Democrats Sweep 69% | $945K | in 12 days | Compare |
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026? ποΈ Politics | 280-299 62% | $851K | in 8h | View |
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 ποΈ Politics | J.D. Vance 44% | $800K | Nov 7, 2028 | Compare |
Next French Presidential Election ποΈ Politics | Marine Le Pen 46% | $794K | Apr 19, 2027 | Compare |
Which party will win the House in 2026? ποΈ Politics | Democratic Party 93% | $716K | in 12 days | View |
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory ποΈ Politics | FlΓ‘vio Bolsonaro <4% 41% | $560K | in 3 days | View |
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 ποΈ Politics | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18% | $429K | Nov 8, 2028 | Compare |
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? ποΈ Politics | Democratic Party 69% | $300K | in 12 days | Compare |
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Aleksandar VuΔiΔ β United Serbia 71% | $288K | in 3 days | View |
Next Prime Minister of Serbia? ποΈ Politics | Aleksandar VuΔiΔ 72% | $257K | in 3 days | View |
Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026? ποΈ Politics | June 30, 2027 10% | $210K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? ποΈ Politics | March 31 59% | $181K | in 9 days | View |
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory ποΈ Politics | Iotova 10-20% 60% | $166K | in 3 days | View |
Israeli Legislative Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Yashar 70% | $165K | in 5 days | Compare |
Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026? ποΈ Politics | 280-299 19% | $158K | in 4 days | View |
Trump out as President before 2027? ποΈ Politics | Yes 4% | $156K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in AmapΓ‘ ποΈ Politics | Flavio Bolsonaro 65% | $147K | in 3 days | Compare |
Michigan Senate Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 72% | $141K | in 12 days | Compare |
Presidential Election Winner 2028 ποΈ Politics | JD Vance 20% | $138K | Nov 7, 2028 | Compare |
Texas Senate Election Winner ποΈ Politics | James Talarico (D) 67% | $135K | in 12 days | Compare |
Idaho Senate Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Jim Risch (R) 97% | $131K | in 12 days | Compare |
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31 81% | $122K | in 9 days | View |
Bulgaria Presidential Election ποΈ Politics | Iliana Iotova 88% | $116K | in 3 days | View |
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027 ποΈ Politics | Donald Trump 9% | $95K | Apr 1, 2028 | View |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? ποΈ Politics | December 31, 2027 72% | $95K | in 9 days | View |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ποΈ Politics | Yes 17% | $93K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026? ποΈ Politics | 65-89 51% | $92K | in 1 day | View |
Taipei Mayor Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Chiang Wan-an 65% | $83K | Nov 29 | View |
Nebraska Senate Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Pete Ricketts (R) 73% | $76K | in 12 days | Compare |
Ohio Senate Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Sherrod Brown (D) 70% | $74K | in 12 days | View |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? ποΈ Politics | Yes 2% | $70K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Kansas Senate Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Roger Marshall (R) 63% | $70K | in 12 days | Compare |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? ποΈ Politics | Yes 21% | $63K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Olivia Chow 53% | $62K | in 4 days | Compare |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? ποΈ Politics | December 31 5% | $60K | in 9 days | View |
Texas Governor Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Greg Abbott (R) 70% | $59K | in 12 days | Compare |
Iowa Senate Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Ashley Hinson (R) 57% | $56K | in 12 days | Compare |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? ποΈ Politics | Yes 1% | $53K | in 9 days | Compare |
Next leader out of power before 2027? ποΈ Politics | None before 2027 47% | $53K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ποΈ Politics | Yes 6% | $52K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Iran leadership change by...? ποΈ Politics | June 30, 2027 24% | $51K | in 9 days | View |
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31? ποΈ Politics | Jared Kushner 35% | $50K | Dec 31 | View |
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? ποΈ Politics | Yes 74% | $47K | in 12 days | View |
Oil β₯ $80; D Senate 65% | $47K | in 12 days | View | |
Ohio Governor Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Amy Acton (D) 83% | $46K | in 12 days | Compare |
Minnesota Senate Election Winner ποΈ Politics | Peggy Flanagan (D) 88% | $43K | in 12 days | Compare |
No Hormuz Agreement 88% | $43K | in 12 days | View | |
Israel Election: Likud # of seats? ποΈ Politics | 20-24 43% | $41K | in 5 days | View |
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?October 22$1.3M todayEnds Ending now98%
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot$1.1M todayEnds in 5 days49%
- Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsDemocrats Sweep$945K todayEnds in 12 days69%
- Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?280-299$851K todayEnds in 8h62%
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance$800K todayEnds Nov 7, 202844%
- Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen$794K todayEnds Apr 19, 202746%
- Which party will win the House in 2026?Democratic Party$716K todayEnds in 12 days93%
- Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of VictoryFlΓ‘vio Bolsonaro <4%$560K todayEnds in 3 days41%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$429K todayEnds Nov 8, 202818%
- Which party will win the Senate in 2026?Democratic Party$300K todayEnds in 12 days69%
- Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar VuΔiΔ β United Serbia$288K todayEnds in 3 days71%
- Next Prime Minister of Serbia?Aleksandar VuΔiΔ$257K todayEnds in 3 days72%
- Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?June 30, 2027$210K todayEnds Jan 1, 202710%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 31$181K todayEnds in 9 days59%
- Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryIotova 10-20%$166K todayEnds in 3 days60%
- Israeli Legislative Election WinnerYashar$165K todayEnds in 5 days70%
- Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?280-299$158K todayEnds in 4 days19%
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes$156K todayEnds Jan 1, 20274%
- Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in AmapΓ‘Flavio Bolsonaro$147K todayEnds in 3 days65%
- Michigan Senate Election WinnerAbdul El-Sayed (D)$141K todayEnds in 12 days72%
- Presidential Election Winner 2028JD Vance$138K todayEnds Nov 7, 202820%
- Texas Senate Election WinnerJames Talarico (D)$135K todayEnds in 12 days67%
- Idaho Senate Election WinnerJim Risch (R)$131K todayEnds in 12 days97%
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?December 31$122K todayEnds in 9 days81%
- Bulgaria Presidential ElectionIliana Iotova$116K todayEnds in 3 days88%
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027Donald Trump$95K todayEnds Apr 1, 20289%
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?December 31, 2027$95K todayEnds in 9 days72%
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes$93K todayEnds Jan 1, 202717%
- Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?65-89$92K todayEnds in 1 day51%
- Taipei Mayor Election WinnerChiang Wan-an$83K todayEnds Nov 2965%
- Nebraska Senate Election Winner Pete Ricketts (R)$76K todayEnds in 12 days73%
- Ohio Senate Election WinnerSherrod Brown (D)$74K todayEnds in 12 days70%
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes$70K todayEnds Jan 1, 20272%
- Kansas Senate Election WinnerRoger Marshall (R)$70K todayEnds in 12 days63%
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes$63K todayEnds Jan 1, 202721%
- Toronto Mayoral Election WinnerOlivia Chow$62K todayEnds in 4 days53%
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?December 31$60K todayEnds in 9 days5%
- Texas Governor Election WinnerGreg Abbott (R)$59K todayEnds in 12 days70%
- Iowa Senate Election WinnerAshley Hinson (R)$56K todayEnds in 12 days57%
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes$53K todayEnds in 9 days1%
- Next leader out of power before 2027?None before 2027$53K todayEnds Jan 1, 202747%
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes$52K todayEnds Jan 1, 20276%
- Iran leadership change by...?June 30, 2027$51K todayEnds in 9 days24%
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Jared Kushner$50K todayEnds Dec 3135%
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Yes$47K todayEnds in 12 days74%
- Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?Oil β₯ $80; D Senate$47K todayEnds in 12 days65%
- Ohio Governor Election WinnerAmy Acton (D)$46K todayEnds in 12 days83%
- Minnesota Senate Election WinnerPeggy Flanagan (D)$43K todayEnds in 12 days88%
- Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?No Hormuz Agreement$43K todayEnds in 12 days88%
- Israel Election: Likud # of seats?20-24$41K todayEnds in 5 days43%