See what the markets expect, and where they disagree.
We track every open market on
Kalshi and
Polymarket, match the same question across venues, and show where prices agree, disagree and move.
We track every open market on
Kalshi and
Polymarket, match the same question across venues, and show where prices agree, disagree and move.
Live 2026 Midterms
Polls open in11days11hrs06min03sec
Kalshi and
Polymarket, side by side, for every Senate, House and governor race. Markets expect 5 Senate seats to change party.
Projected Senate
Faded ends are seats not up this year. Each race counts for the party the two venues favour on average.
Democrats blue, republicans red.
Open markets tracked
11,657
$8.2B all-time volume on the markets open now
LiveConnected to Kalshi and Polymarket
Kalshi
Polymarket
Kalshi
Polymarket
The same outcome on both venues, with settlement rules checked by a person. Busiest markets first; each row shows how old its prices are.
Showing 8 of 22 verified price gaps. See every matched market in the scanner
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
New England vs Chicago ⚽ Sports | Chicago 60% | $6.4M | in 2 days | View |
Corey Conners 12% | $6.1M | Nov 8 | Compare | |
Cleveland vs Philadelphia ⚽ Sports | Cleveland 84% | $5.3M | in 2 days | View |
Game 1: Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee ⚽ Sports | Milwaukee 63% | $4.7M | in 4 days | Compare |
Wolf vs Jong ⚽ Sports | Jeffrey John Wolf 59% | $4.6M | in 14 days | View |
D'Andre Swift 16% | $4.1M | in 2 days | View | |
New England vs Chicago: Spread ⚽ Sports | Chicago wins by over 1.5 points 57% | $4.0M | in 2 days | View |
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? 🏛️ Politics | Democrats sweep 68% | $3.0M | Feb 1, 2027 | Compare |
D'Andre Swift: 1+ 58% | $2.9M | in 2 days | View | |
Over 27.5 points 96% | $2.8M | in 2 days | View | |
2027 Pro Basketball Champion ⚽ Sports | Oklahoma City 25% | $2.3M | Jul 30, 2029 | View |
Texas Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | James Talarico 68% | $2.1M | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Democratic Party 91% | $1.8M | Feb 1, 2027 | View | |
Cleveland wins by over 2.5 points 82% | $1.5M | in 2 days | View | |
Genesis Championship Winner ⚽ Sports | Si Woo Kim 31% | $1.4M | Nov 8 | View |
James Madison wins by over 1.5 points 83% | $1.4M | in 2 days | Compare | |
A.J. Brown: 25+ 91% | $1.2M | in 2 days | View | |
James Madison vs Appalachian St. ⚽ Sports | James Madison 83% | $1.1M | in 2 days | Compare |
Fed decision in Oct 2026? 📈 Economics | Fed maintains rate 93% | $841K | in 6 days | Compare |
Liberty vs Kennesaw St.: Spread ⚽ Sports | Liberty wins by over 1.5 points 94% | $776K | in 2 days | Compare |
$75,500 or above 100% | $769K | in 6 min | View | |
2027 Pro Football Champion ⚽ Sports | San Francisco 16% | $752K | Feb 13, 2029 | View |
Los Angeles Mayor winner? 📊 Other | Nithya Raman 51% | $750K | Jun 2, 2027 | View |
Transgender 98% | $739K | in 14 days | Compare | |
Tampa Bay vs Carolina: Spread ⚽ Sports | Carolina wins by over 1.5 points 56% | $694K | in 5 days | View |
Liberty vs Kennesaw St. ⚽ Sports | Liberty 97% | $667K | in 2 days | Compare |
Barcelona vs Real Madrid ⚽ Sports | Barcelona 60% | $656K | in 5 days | Compare |
Harry Kane 78% | $635K | Dec 31 | Compare | |
Tobon vs Mejia ⚽ Sports | Nicolas Mejia 84% | $628K | in 14 days | Compare |
James Harden: 10+ 96% | $623K | in 2 days | View | |
2028 Democratic nominee for President? 🏛️ Politics | Jon Ossoff 15% | $594K | Nov 7, 2028 | Compare |
Where will it rain on Oct 22, 2026? 📊 Climate | San Francisco 99% | $587K | in 8h | View |
Over 207.5 points 96% | $584K | in 2 days | View | |
Over 37.5 points 83% | $579K | in 2 days | Compare | |
Luther Burden III: 2+ 93% | $563K | in 2 days | View | |
Texas Governor winner? 🏛️ Politics | Greg Abbott 68% | $559K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Denver vs Oklahoma City ⚽ Sports | Oklahoma City 74% | $552K | in 2 days | View |
East Carolina vs Memphis: Spread ⚽ Sports | Memphis wins by over 1.5 points 72% | $545K | in 2 days | Compare |
$70,000 or above 100% | $524K | in 21h | View | |
Cincinnati vs Baltimore ⚽ Sports | Baltimore 54% | $514K | in 5 days | View |
US gas prices tomorrow 📈 Economics | Above 4.2300 99% | $500K | in 4h | View |
Over 33.5 points 94% | $482K | in 2 days | Compare | |
Nashville vs Boston ⚽ Sports | Boston 86% | $482K | in 2 days | View |
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? 🏛️ Politics | Democratic Party 69% | $478K | Feb 1, 2027 | Compare |
Nebraska Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | Pete Ricketts 76% | $472K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Denver vs Oklahoma City: Spread ⚽ Sports | Oklahoma City wins by over 1.5 points 72% | $439K | in 2 days | View |
Pro Basketball MVP Winner ⚽ Sports | Victor Wembanyama 31% | $419K | Jun 30, 2028 | View |
Maine Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | Troy Jackson 66% | $414K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Idaho Senate winner? 🏛️ Politics | Jim Risch 96% | $412K | Nov 3, 2027 | Compare |
Rhamondre Stevenson: 20+ 84% | $409K | in 2 days | View |