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KalshiPolymarketTotal Events:1,469
Observed times shown per event
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1,469 results · 51–100Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 3rd Largest Company end of October? 📊 Ai_tech | Alphabet 51% | $3K | in 8 days | View |
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? 📊 Ai_tech | Yes 2% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
HotSchedules 100% | $2K | in 8h | View | |
December 31, 2027 66% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
50%+ 98% | $2K | Jul 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 20% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
↓ $45 55% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Anthropic 83% | $2K | in 8 days | Compare | |
185-195T 53% | $2K | in 2 days | View | |
December 31, 2029 27% | $2K | Jan 1, 2028 | View | |
Claude 6 released by...? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31, 2027 93% | $2K | Mar 31, 2027 | View |
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? 📊 Ai_tech | Yes 3% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
<5 82% | $2K | in 8 days | View | |
Alibaba 39% | $2K | in 8 days | View | |
No release by November 1 96% | $2K | in 2 days | View | |
3-6 hours 81% | $2K | in 8 days | View | |
Anthropic 91% | $2K | in 8 days | Compare | |
June 30, 2027 36% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
45%+ 86% | $2K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
$1.00-$1.25 66% | $2K | in 8 days | View | |
Lindsay Clancy 34% | $2K | Dec 31 | View | |
AI data center in space by...? 📊 Ai_tech | December 31, 2027 24% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Google 59% | $1K | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Yes 98% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Shadowrocket 100% | $1K | in 8h | View | |
$1.30T+ 51% | $1K | Nov 30 | View | |
Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace 96% | $1K | in 8h | View | |
$5.50+ 64% | $1K | in 8 days | View | |
45%+ 26% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
1470+ 33% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
58%+ 65% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
OpenAI 86% | $1K | in 8 days | View | |
Microsoft 44% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
$0.75+ 43% | $1K | Dec 1 | View | |
Meta 23% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 9% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
#3 26% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
5+ 99% | $1K | in 8 days | View | |
$6.50+ 97% | $1K | in 8 days | View | |
Best AI model on November 2? 📊 Ai_tech | gemini-4-argon-high 55% | $1K | in 11 days | View |
1575 42% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
OpenAI 80% | $1K | in 4 days | Compare | |
OpenAI 82% | $1K | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Yes 35% | $1K | in 4h | View | |
↓ $40 59% | $1K | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Moonshot 33% | $991 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? 📊 Ai_tech | Yes 94% | $976 | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Anthropic 86% | $975 | in 8 days | Compare | |
Next DeepSeek Pro released by...? 📊 Ai_tech | November 30 19% | $964 | in 8 days | View |
500k to 525k 28% | $960 | Mar 1, 2027 | Compare |
- 3rd Largest Company end of October?Alphabet$3K todayEnds in 8 days51%
- Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? Yes$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 20272%
- #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?HotSchedules$2K todayEnds in 8h100%
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?December 31, 2027$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202766%
- Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?50%+$2K todayEnds Jul 1, 202798%
- US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Yes$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202720%
- What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?↓ $45$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202755%
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?Anthropic$2K todayEnds in 8 days83%- OpenRouter token usage week of October 19?185-195T$2K todayEnds in 2 days53%
- CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?December 31, 2029$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202827%
- Claude 6 released by...?December 31, 2027$2K todayEnds Mar 31, 202793%
- OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Yes$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 20273%
- Will Claude go down on __ days in October?<5$2K todayEnds in 8 days82%
- Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Alibaba$2K todayEnds in 8 days39%
- When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?No release by November 1$2K todayEnds in 2 days96%
- Longest GitHub critical incident in October?3-6 hours$2K todayEnds in 8 days81%
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?Anthropic$2K todayEnds in 8 days91%
- CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...?June 30, 2027$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202736%
- Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?45%+$2K todayEnds Jan 1, 202786%
- GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?$1.00-$1.25$2K todayEnds in 8 days66%
- #1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?Lindsay Clancy$2K todayEnds Dec 3134%
- AI data center in space by...?December 31, 2027$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202724%
- Which company has the best AI model end of November?Google$1K todayEnds Dec 159%
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202798%
- #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Shadowrocket$1K todayEnds in 8h100%
- OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?$1.30T+$1K todayEnds Nov 3051%
- #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace$1K todayEnds in 8h96%
- GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?$5.50+$1K todayEnds in 8 days64%
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?45%+$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202726%
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?1470+$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202733%
- Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?58%+$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202765%
- Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?OpenAI$1K todayEnds in 8 days86%
- 3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?Microsoft$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202744%
- GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?$0.75+$1K todayEnds Dec 143%
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?Meta$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202723%
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 20279%
- Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?#3$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202726%
- # of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?5+$1K todayEnds in 8 days99%
- GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?$6.50+$1K todayEnds in 8 days97%
- Best AI model on November 2?gemini-4-argon-high$1K todayEnds in 11 days55%
- Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?1575$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202742%
- #3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?OpenAI$1K todayEnds in 4 days80%
- Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of November?OpenAI$1K todayEnds Dec 182%
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 23?Yes$1K todayEnds in 4h35%
- What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?↓ $40$1K todayEnds Jan 1, 202759%
- Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?Moonshot$991 todayEnds Jan 1, 202733%
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Yes$976 todayEnds Jan 1, 202894%
- Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?Anthropic$975 todayEnds in 8 days86%
- Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?November 30$964 todayEnds in 8 days19%
- How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?500k to 525k$960 todayEnds Mar 1, 202728%