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PolymarketTotal Events:3,443Observed times shown per event
Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:3,443
Observed times shown per event
All categoriesποΈ Politicsπ Economicsβ½ SportsβΏ Cryptoπ AI / Techπ Worldπ Cultureπ Climateπ¬ Scienceπ Other
3,443 results Β· 351β400Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
December 31, 2026 20% | $10 | in 9 days | View | |
Robinhood funded customers in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 28 million 98% | $10 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Before 2030 20% | $9 | Jan 1, 2030 | View | |
Starbucks total global stores in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 41300 95% | $9 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Tesla headcount in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 120000 92% | $9 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
<5 44% | $8 | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
β $15 42% | $7 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Anthropic 70% | $7 | Dec 31 | View | |
JIO Platforms IPO by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 100% | $7 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Google 82% | $7 | in 8 days | Compare | |
Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 1.8 million 99% | $7 | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut? π Ai_tech | 1510+ 82% | $6 | Jul 1, 2027 | View |
Before 2027 16% | $6 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
In 2026 36% | $5 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Azure 89% | $5 | Dec 1 | View | |
Yes 13% | $5 | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
$95B 81% | $2 | Nov 18 | View | |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? π Ai_tech | Yes 5% | $2 | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
December 31, 2026 8% | $2 | in 9 days | View | |
Anthropic 79% | β | Dec 1 | Compare | |
Who will be the next CEO of X? π Ai_tech | Elon Musk 9% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Before Sep 23, 2027 61% | β | Sep 23, 2027 | View | |
When will Anthropic release Opus 6? π Ai_tech | Before Dec 1, 2026 18% | β | in 9 days | View |
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? π Ai_tech | Yes 2% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Spotify premium subscribers in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 330 million 97% | β | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
When will OpenAI release GPT-7? π Ai_tech | Before 2028 82% | β | Jan 1, 2028 | Compare |
Anthropicβs valuation end of November 2026? π Ai_tech | $500-$750B 36% | β | Dec 1 | View |
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027? π Ai_tech | Before 2027 3% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Will SΓ©bastien Bubeck leave OpenAI? π Ai_tech | Before Jan 1, 2027 3% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
OpenAI 79% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
Above -10% 96% | β | May 26, 2027 | View | |
SB Energy IPO by...? π Ai_tech | October 31 16% | β | in 9 days | View |
December 31 28% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? π Ai_tech | Yes 76% | β | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Dodge Challenger Hellcat 2% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 39% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 9% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 15% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Another Elon baby by December 31? π Ai_tech | Yes 11% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
OpenAI 94% | β | in 9 days | Compare | |
Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut? π Ai_tech | 1440+ 56% | β | Jul 1, 2027 | View |
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026? π Ai_tech | Above $7.37 99% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Robinhood gold subscribers in fiscal 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 4 million 98% | β | May 12, 2027 | View |
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026? π Ai_tech | Dolly Parton 61% | β | Dec 31 | View |
$61.5B 81% | β | in 5 days | View | |
Meta 90% | β | Dec 31 | View | |
Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...? π Ai_tech | June 30, 2027 73% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Yes 54% | β | Jan 1, 2028 | View | |
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026? π Ai_tech | December 31, 2026 7% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
#2 Searched Person on Google 2026? π Ai_tech | Erling Haaland 33% | β | Dec 31 | View |
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?December 31, 2026$10 todayEnds in 9 days20%
Robinhood funded customers in 2026Above 28 million$10 todayEnds Mar 31, 202898%
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?Before 2030$9 todayEnds Jan 1, 203020%
Starbucks total global stores in 2026Above 41300$9 todayEnds Mar 31, 202895%
Tesla headcount in 2026Above 120000$9 todayEnds Mar 31, 202892%
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?<5$8 todayEnds Jan 1, 202744%
What will GPT Sol's output token price hit in 2026?β $15$7 todayEnds Jan 1, 202742%
Anthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026Anthropic$7 todayEnds Dec 3170%
JIO Platforms IPO by...?December 31$7 todayEnds Jan 1, 2027100%
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?Google$7 todayEnds in 8 days82%
Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026Above 1.8 million$7 todayEnds Mar 31, 202899%
Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?1510+$6 todayEnds Jul 1, 202782%
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?Before 2027$6 todayEnds Jan 1, 202716%
Will any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?In 2026$5 todayEnds Jan 1, 202736%
What will Satya Nadella say during Microsoft Ignite keynote?Azure$5 todayEnds Dec 189%
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Yes$5 todayEnds Jan 1, 202713%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 Data Center Revenue be above __?$95B$2 todayEnds Nov 1881%
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes$2 todayEnds Jan 1, 20275%
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?December 31, 2026$2 todayEnds in 9 days8%
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?AnthropicEnds Dec 179%
Who will be the next CEO of X?Elon MuskEnds Jan 1, 20279%
Will Netflix Studios Fort Monmouth Phase 1A be completed before fall 2027?Before Sep 23, 2027Ends Sep 23, 202761%
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?Before Dec 1, 2026Ends in 9 days18%
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?YesEnds Jan 1, 20272%
Spotify premium subscribers in 2026Above 330 millionEnds Mar 31, 202897%
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?Before 2028Ends Jan 1, 202882%
Anthropicβs valuation end of November 2026?$500-$750BEnds Dec 136%
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?Before 2027Ends Jan 1, 20273%
Will SΓ©bastien Bubeck leave OpenAI?Before Jan 1, 2027Ends Jan 1, 20273%
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?OpenAIEnds Jan 1, 202779%
Wendy's US same-restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026Above -10%Ends May 26, 202796%
SB Energy IPO by...?October 31Ends in 9 days16%
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?December 31Ends Jan 1, 202728%
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?YesEnds Jan 1, 202876%
Will Dodge release a new Challenger Hellcat before 2027?Dodge Challenger HellcatEnds Jan 1, 20272%
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 202739%
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 20279%
Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?YesEnds Jan 1, 202715%
Another Elon baby by December 31?YesEnds Jan 1, 202711%
Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?OpenAIEnds in 9 days94%
Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?1440+Ends Jul 1, 202756%
Price of NVIDIA B200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?Above $7.37Ends Jan 1, 202799%
Robinhood gold subscribers in fiscal 2026Above 4 millionEnds May 12, 202798%
#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?Dolly PartonEnds Dec 3161%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Cloud revenue be above __?$61.5BEnds in 5 days81%
Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026MetaEnds Dec 3190%
Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?June 30, 2027Ends Jan 1, 202773%
Will Dario Amodei hold super-voting Anthropic shares at IPO?YesEnds Jan 1, 202854%
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?December 31, 2026Ends Jan 1, 20277%
#2 Searched Person on Google 2026?Erling HaalandEnds Dec 3133%