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PolymarketTotal Events:3,449Observed times shown per event
Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:3,449
Observed times shown per event
All categoriesποΈ Politicsπ Economicsβ½ SportsβΏ Cryptoπ AI / Techπ Worldπ Cultureπ Climateπ¬ Scienceπ Other
3,449 results Β· 401β450Reset filters
| Market | Chance | Volume 24h | Ends | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Meta 90% | β | Dec 31 | View | |
Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...? π Ai_tech | June 30, 2027 74% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch byβ¦? π Ai_tech | June 30, 2027 87% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Anthropic 70% | β | Dec 31 | View | |
Yes 54% | β | Jan 1, 2028 | View | |
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026? π Ai_tech | December 31, 2026 7% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
#2 Searched Person on Google 2026? π Ai_tech | Erling Haaland 33% | β | Dec 31 | View |
60%+ 19% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Yes 14% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 10.6 billion 95% | β | May 6, 2027 | View |
Before Jul 1, 2027 83% | β | Jul 1, 2027 | View | |
OpenAI 98% | β | in 8 days | Compare | |
Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027? π Ai_tech | Goldman Sachs 8% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
$44B 99% | β | in 5 days | View | |
$64B 97% | β | in 5 days | View | |
Above 8% 99% | β | Apr 28, 2027 | View | |
eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above $84 billion 99% | β | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
Starbucks comparable transactions growth in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 2% 93% | β | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
46% to 48% 61% | β | in 5 days | View | |
Yes 14% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? π Ai_tech | Yes 2% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Chipotle headcount in fiscal 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 102 thousand 97% | β | May 11, 2027 | View |
Before Mar 1, 2027 86% | β | Mar 1, 2027 | View | |
December 31, 2028 30% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
CAVA total restaurants in fiscal 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 500 99% | β | May 26, 2027 | View |
Grab monthly transacting users in 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 55 million 89% | β | Mar 31, 2028 | View |
GPT-7 released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31, 2027 87% | β | Jun 30, 2027 | View |
Will Rippling win its lawsuit against Deel? π Ai_tech | Before 2028 58% | β | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
At least $500 75% | β | Jan 1, 2030 | View | |
Above 9% 96% | β | May 26, 2027 | View | |
New MAI thinking model released by...? π Ai_tech | December 31 68% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? π Ai_tech | Yes 7% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Critical Discord Incident by...? π Ai_tech | November 30 27% | β | in 8 days | View |
OpenAI 85% | β | Dec 31 | Compare | |
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026? π Ai_tech | Above $5.79 99% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
73% to 75% 81% | β | Nov 18 | View | |
Astra removed from public access by...? π Ai_tech | October 31 2% | β | in 8 days | View |
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...? π Ai_tech | October 31, 2026 3% | β | in 8 days | View |
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? π Ai_tech | Before 2027 2% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Top 5 Most Searched Movies on Google 2026 π Ai_tech | The Odyssey 94% | β | Dec 31 | View |
Lyft total rides in fiscal 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 1.01 billion 86% | β | May 12, 2027 | View |
a new reference in titanium 1% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030? π Ai_tech | Before 2030 17% | β | Jan 1, 2030 | View |
a steel Nautilus reference 2% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View | |
Starbucks headcount in fiscal 2026 π Ai_tech | Above 350 thousand 25% | β | Feb 10, 2027 | View |
Which flavors will JUUL relaunch in 2026? π Ai_tech | Mint 52% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare |
Before 2027 67% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | Compare | |
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? π Ai_tech | Yes 73% | β | Jan 1, 2028 | View |
Tesla Roadster delivered by...? π Ai_tech | December 31, 2027 10% | β | Jan 1, 2027 | View |
$435 97% | β | in 7 days | View |
Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026MetaEnds Dec 3190%
Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?June 30, 2027Ends Jan 1, 202774%
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by�June 30, 2027Ends Jan 1, 202787%
Anthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026AnthropicEnds Dec 3170%
Will Dario Amodei hold super-voting Anthropic shares at IPO?YesEnds Jan 1, 202854%
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?December 31, 2026Ends Jan 1, 20277%
#2 Searched Person on Google 2026?Erling HaalandEnds Dec 3133%
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanityβs Last Exam in 2026?60%+Ends Jan 1, 202719%
SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?YesEnds Jan 1, 202714%
Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in fiscal 2026Above 10.6 billionEnds May 6, 202795%
When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index? Before Jul 1, 2027Ends Jul 1, 202783%
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?OpenAIEnds in 8 days98%
Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?Goldman SachsEnds Jan 1, 20278%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above __?$44BEnds in 5 days99%
Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above __?$64BEnds in 5 days97%
Meta advertisement impressions growth in fiscal 2026Above 8%Ends Apr 28, 202799%
eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026Above $84 billionEnds Mar 31, 202899%
Starbucks comparable transactions growth in 2026Above 2%Ends Mar 31, 202893%
Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency)?46% to 48%Ends in 5 days61%
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 202714%
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 20272%
Chipotle headcount in fiscal 2026Above 102 thousandEnds May 11, 202797%
When will the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame expansion be completed?Before Mar 1, 2027Ends Mar 1, 202786%
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?December 31, 2028Ends Jan 1, 202730%
CAVA total restaurants in fiscal 2026Above 500Ends May 26, 202799%
Grab monthly transacting users in 2026Above 55 millionEnds Mar 31, 202889%
GPT-7 released by...?December 31, 2027Ends Jun 30, 202787%
Will Rippling win its lawsuit against Deel?Before 2028Ends Jan 1, 202858%
How much will a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket cost?At least $500Ends Jan 1, 203075%
Sweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026Above 9%Ends May 26, 202796%
New MAI thinking model released by...?December 31Ends Jan 1, 202768%
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?YesEnds Jan 1, 20277%
Critical Discord Incident by...?November 30Ends in 8 days27%
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?OpenAIEnds Dec 3185%
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by Dec 31, 2026?Above $5.79Ends Jan 1, 202799%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP)?73% to 75%Ends Nov 1881%
Astra removed from public access by...?October 31Ends in 8 days2%
Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?October 31, 2026Ends in 8 days3%
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?Before 2027Ends Jan 1, 20272%
Top 5 Most Searched Movies on Google 2026The OdysseyEnds Dec 3194%
Lyft total rides in fiscal 2026Above 1.01 billionEnds May 12, 202786%
Will Rolex release a new reference in titanium this year?a new reference in titaniumEnds Jan 1, 20271%
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?Before 2030Ends Jan 1, 203017%
Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year?a steel Nautilus referenceEnds Jan 1, 20272%
Starbucks headcount in fiscal 2026Above 350 thousandEnds Feb 10, 202725%
Which flavors will JUUL relaunch in 2026?MintEnds Jan 1, 202752%
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?Before 2027Ends Jan 1, 202767%
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?YesEnds Jan 1, 202873%
Tesla Roadster delivered by...?December 31, 2027Ends Jan 1, 202710%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of October?$435Ends in 7 days97%