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Kalshi
PolymarketTotal Events:3,553
Observed times shown per event
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Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Apr 1, 2027$787 todayEnds Jan 1, 202738%
Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?December 31$781 todayEnds in 8 days15%
UK election called by...?June 30, 2027$781 todayEnds Jan 1, 202722%
SC-03 House Election WinnerSheri Biggs (R)$780 todayEnds in 11 days97%
When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?Before Feb 1, 2027$778 todayEnds Feb 1, 202786%
Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?Chicago$773 todayEnds Jan 1, 202727%
AK-AL House Election WinnerRepublican Party$772 todayEnds in 11 days76%
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?No Next Minister by Feb 28$772 todayEnds Mar 1, 202737%
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)Nithya Raman, β₯2%$770 todayEnds Nov 3, 202751%
Trump impeached by end of 2026?December 31, 2027$766 todayEnds Jan 1, 202763%
CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)Scott Wiener$762 todayEnds in 11 days78%
Senate Combo: Texas, Kansas, NebraskaDems TX, Reps KS & NE$757 todayEnds in 11 days56%
Which party will win Latino men in the midterms?Democrats$753 todayEnds in 14 days84%
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?JD Vance$750 todayEnds in 8 days98%
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes$750 todayEnds in 4 days45%
Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percentAt least 46%$745 todayEnds Nov 3, 202795%
Will the federal gas tax be suspended?Before Jan 1, 2027$745 todayEnds Jan 1, 20277%
Spain General Election: LeΓ³n WinnerPP$743 todayEnds Nov 3073%
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?Yes$741 todayEnds in 10 days4%
New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 3rd PlaceLiberalβNational$738 todayEnds Mar 28, 202730%
Rhode Island 01 House General Election: voter turnoutAbove 141K$737 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
Netanyahu out by...?December 31$736 todayEnds Jan 1, 202742%
NYC Mayor # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?20-39$735 todayEnds in 4 days69%
WI-05 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 15-20%$723 todayEnds in 11 days25%
How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?At least 250 billion$722 todayEnds Mar 31, 20277%
Alaska Senate election: Mary Peltola vote percent (1st Round)At least 42%$715 todayEnds Nov 3, 202797%
GA-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)Republican 25-30%$714 todayEnds in 11 days33%
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?December 31, 2026$713 todayEnds in 10 days9%
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes$710 todayEnds Jan 1, 202739%
Hobart Lord Mayor Election WinnerBill Harvey$708 todayEnds in 4 days23%
TX-32 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 18-21%$707 todayEnds in 11 days23%
OH-01 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 9-12%$707 todayEnds in 11 days19%
NJ-06 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 25-30%$703 todayEnds in 11 days25%
Will Trump run for a third term?Before 2028$702 todayEnds Nov 7, 202817%
VT-AL House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 30-35%$702 todayEnds in 11 days24%
2026 Dallas County Judge Election WinnerClay Jenkins$700 todayEnds in 11 days100%
NC-11 House Election WinnerJamie Ager (D)$695 todayEnds in 11 days85%
Ted Cruz # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?160-179$692 todayEnds in 4 days51%
TX-14 House Election WinnerRandy Weber (R)$692 todayEnds in 11 days96%
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?Yes$690 todayEnds in 11 days26%
Spain General Election: Cantabria WinnerPP$686 todayEnds Nov 3089%
Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran?Before Jan 1, 2027$684 todayEnds Jan 1, 20273%
Which states will Trump visit before 2027?Mississippi$683 todayEnds Jan 1, 202799%
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?Yes$681 todayEnds Jan 1, 20272%
NY-01 House Election WinnerNick LaLota (R)$680 todayEnds in 11 days80%
TX-17 House Election Margin of VictoryRepublican 10-15%$679 todayEnds in 11 days38%
Spain General Election: Las Palmas WinnerPSOE$676 todayEnds Nov 3068%
Lean R Senate Race Combo: which states will Republicans win?Republican sweep$674 todayEnds Nov 3, 202755%
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in ParaΓbaLula$671 todayEnds in 2 days99%
TX-29 House Election Margin of VictoryDemocrat 50-55%$669 todayEnds in 11 days34%